Match

Wisla Plock vs Radomiak Radom: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Orlen Stadion, Płock

Wisla PlockRadomiak Radom

The Footlab model makes Wisla Plock the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Radomiak Radom. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Wisla Plock vs Radomiak Radom?

A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Wisla Plock (1,916) and Radomiak Radom (1,899).

Wisla Plock win55 %
Draw24 %
Radomiak Radom win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wisla Plock have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Radomiak Radom have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Wisla Plock
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026GKS Katowice(away)0-5Ekstraklasa
Aug 7, 2026Wisla Krakow(away)1-2Ekstraklasa
Jul 31, 2026Widzew Łódź(home)0-0Ekstraklasa
Jul 26, 2026Raków Częstochowa(away)2-1Ekstraklasa
Jul 22, 2026Pelikan Łowicz(home)3-2Friendlies Clubs
Radomiak Radom
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Zaglebie Lubin(home)0-0Ekstraklasa
Aug 14, 2026Legia Warszawa(away)0-5Ekstraklasa
Aug 9, 2026AEL(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Gornik Zabrze(home)1-3Ekstraklasa
Aug 2, 2026GKS Katowice(away)1-3Ekstraklasa

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Wisla Plock win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Radomiak Radom win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 26, 2026Wisla Plock 0-1 Radomiak RadomEkstraklasa
Oct 27, 2025Radomiak Radom 1-1 Wisla PlockEkstraklasa
Jan 22, 2025Radomiak Radom 0-4 Wisla PlockFriendlies Clubs
Nov 17, 2023Wisla Plock 1-0 Radomiak RadomFriendlies Clubs
Apr 2, 2023Wisla Plock 1-1 Radomiak RadomEkstraklasa
Sep 10, 2022Radomiak Radom 2-0 Wisla PlockEkstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Wisla Plock vs Radomiak Radom on Apr 26, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Wisla Plock score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Radomiak Radom score 1.2 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Wisla Plock1.31.646/1511/15
Radomiak Radom1.22.0311/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Wisla Plock sit 15th in Ekstraklasa (4 points from 4 matches) and Radomiak Radom sit 16th (4 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
15Wisla Plock4112384
16Radomiak Radom51134124

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Wisla Plock vs Radomiak Radom?
The Footlab model makes Wisla Plock the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Radomiak Radom.
Where and when is Wisla Plock vs Radomiak Radom played?
Wisla Plock vs Radomiak Radom is played on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Orlen Stadion, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Wisla Plock and Radomiak Radom

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