Wisla Plock vs Radomiak Radom: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Orlen Stadion, Płock
The Footlab model makes Wisla Plock the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Radomiak Radom. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wisla Plock vs Radomiak Radom?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Wisla Plock (1,916) and Radomiak Radom (1,899).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wisla Plock have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Radomiak Radom have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | GKS Katowice(away) | 0-5 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Wisla Krakow(away) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Widzew Łódź(home) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa(away) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Zaglebie Lubin(home) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(away) | 0-5 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 9, 2026 | AEL(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gornik Zabrze(home) | 1-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 2, 2026 | GKS Katowice(away) | 1-3 | Ekstraklasa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Wisla Plock win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Radomiak Radom win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Wisla Plock 0-1 Radomiak Radom | Ekstraklasa |
| Oct 27, 2025 | Radomiak Radom 1-1 Wisla Plock | Ekstraklasa |
| Jan 22, 2025 | Radomiak Radom 0-4 Wisla Plock | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 17, 2023 | Wisla Plock 1-0 Radomiak Radom | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Wisla Plock 1-1 Radomiak Radom | Ekstraklasa |
| Sep 10, 2022 | Radomiak Radom 2-0 Wisla Plock | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Wisla Plock vs Radomiak Radom on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Wisla Plock score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Radomiak Radom score 1.2 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wisla Plock | 1.3 | 1.6 | 4 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
| Radomiak Radom | 1.2 | 2.0 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wisla Plock sit 15th in Ekstraklasa (4 points from 4 matches) and Radomiak Radom sit 16th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wisla Plock | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 4 |
| 16 | Radomiak Radom | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wisla Plock vs Radomiak Radom?
- The Footlab model makes Wisla Plock the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Radomiak Radom.
- Where and when is Wisla Plock vs Radomiak Radom played?
- Wisla Plock vs Radomiak Radom is played on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Orlen Stadion, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026Gornik ZabrzevsPiast Gliwice
- Oct 17, 2026Zaglebie LubinvsJagiellonia
- Oct 17, 2026Lech PoznanvsKorona Kielce
- Oct 17, 2026Cracovia KrakowvsLegia Warszawa
- Oct 17, 2026GKS KatowicevsPogon Szczecin
- Oct 17, 2026Widzew ŁódźvsWisla Krakow
- Oct 17, 2026Motor LublinvsSlask Wroclaw
- Oct 17, 2026Wieczysta KrakówvsRaków Częstochowa