Where and when is GKS Katowice vs Pogon Szczecin played?

GKS Katowice vs Pogon Szczecin is played on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Arena Katowice, in the Ekstraklasa.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

GKS Katowice vs Pogon Szczecin: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Arena Katowice, Katowice

GKS Katowice

Pogon Szczecin

The Footlab model makes GKS Katowice the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Pogon Szczecin. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win GKS Katowice vs Pogon Szczecin?

A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate GKS Katowice (2,011) and Pogon Szczecin (1,993).

GKS Katowice win54 %

Draw24 %

Pogon Szczecin win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, GKS Katowice have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Pogon Szczecin have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

GKS Katowice
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Wisla Plock(home)	5-0	Ekstraklasa
Aug 16, 2026	Motor Lublin(away)	0-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 12, 2026	Hapoel Tel Aviv(home)	2-1	UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 6, 2026	Hapoel Tel Aviv(away)	0-2	UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 2, 2026	Radomiak Radom(home)	3-1	Ekstraklasa

Pogon Szczecin
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Wisla Krakow(home)	2-2	Ekstraklasa
Aug 8, 2026	Motor Lublin(home)	3-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 3, 2026	Cracovia Krakow(away)	2-0	Ekstraklasa
Jul 24, 2026	Legia Warszawa(home)	0-1	Ekstraklasa
Jul 15, 2026	Sturm Graz(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 GKS Katowice win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Pogon Szczecin win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 23, 2026	Pogon Szczecin 1-1 GKS Katowice	Ekstraklasa
Nov 29, 2025	GKS Katowice 2-0 Pogon Szczecin	Ekstraklasa
Apr 6, 2025	Pogon Szczecin 4-0 GKS Katowice	Ekstraklasa
Sep 27, 2024	GKS Katowice 3-1 Pogon Szczecin	Ekstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Pogon Szczecin vs GKS Katowice on May 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

GKS Katowice score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Pogon Szczecin score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
GKS Katowice	1.9	1.1	4	8/15	8/15
Pogon Szczecin	1.4	1.3	4	7/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

GKS Katowice sit 8th in Ekstraklasa (6 points from 4 matches) and Pogon Szczecin sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Pogon Szczecin	4	2	1	1	7	4	7
8	GKS Katowice	4	2	0	2	9	4	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for GKS Katowice vs Pogon Szczecin?: The Footlab model makes GKS Katowice the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Pogon Szczecin.
Where and when is GKS Katowice vs Pogon Szczecin played?: GKS Katowice vs Pogon Szczecin is played on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Arena Katowice, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.