Worthing vs Boreham Wood: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on August 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Sussex Transport Community Stadium, Worthing, West Sussex
The Footlab model makes Worthing the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Boreham Wood. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Worthing vs Boreham Wood?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Worthing (1,948) and Boreham Wood (1,983).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Worthing have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Boreham Wood have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wealdstone(home) | 1-0 | National League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | West Ham United U21(home) | 1-2 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Forest Green(home) | 1-2 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Carlisle(away) | 3-2 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Horsham(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Forest Green(away) | 3-0 | National League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Leeds United U21(home) | 5-2 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Halifax Town(away) | 3-1 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tamworth(home) | 3-3 | National League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Norwich City U21(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Worthing win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Boreham Wood win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2025 | Worthing 2-1 Boreham Wood | National League - South |
| Sep 2, 2024 | Boreham Wood 1-2 Worthing | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Worthing vs Boreham Wood on Jan 28, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Worthing score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Boreham Wood score 2.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Worthing | 2.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Boreham Wood | 2.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Worthing sit 9th in National League (6 points from 3 matches) and Boreham Wood sit 4th (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Boreham Wood | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | Worthing | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Worthing vs Boreham Wood?
- The Footlab model makes Worthing the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Boreham Wood.
- Where and when is Worthing vs Boreham Wood played?
- Worthing vs Boreham Wood is played on August 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Sussex Transport Community Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.