Wrexham vs Bristol City: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 46Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)STōK Cae Ras, Wrecsam
The Footlab AI model makes Wrexham the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Bristol City. The most likely score is 1-1. If Wrexham wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,461 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wrexham vs Bristol City?
Wrexham starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (2,032 vs 1,918).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Wrexham vs Bristol City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Wrexham
3-4-2-1- 19K. Moore
- 8B. Whiteman
- 3J. Ekomié
- 17C. O'Hare
- 12I. Kaboré
- 10J. Windass
- 27L. O'Brien
- 5D. Hyam
- 26Z. Vyner
- 2C. Doyle
- 22A. Patterson
Bristol City
4-2-3-1- 23D. Ballard
- 12J. Knight
- 10S. Twine
- 7Y. Hirakawa
- 17J. Wallace
- 20S. Greenwood
- 19G. Tanner
- 5R. Atkinson
- 2L. Eissat
- 3C. Pring
- 1S. Tickle
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 06:40 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wrexham have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Bristol City have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | West Brom(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Derby(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Southampton(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 11, 2026 | West Ham(away) | 0-6 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Burnley(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Blackburn(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Charlton(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Crystal Palace(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Watford(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Lincoln(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Wrexham win, 1 draw, 0 Bristol City wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2026 | Bristol City 2-2 Wrexham | Championship |
| Nov 26, 2025 | Wrexham 2-0 Bristol City | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Bristol City vs Wrexham on Feb 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Wrexham score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bristol City score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wrexham | 1.0 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Bristol City | 1.3 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wrexham sit 17th in Championship (11 points from 10 matches) and Bristol City sit 12th (14 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bristol City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 14 |
| 17 | Wrexham | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 11 |
A question about Wrexham vs Bristol City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wrexham vs Bristol City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Wrexham the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Bristol City.
- Where and when is Wrexham vs Bristol City played?
- Wrexham vs Bristol City is played on May 1, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at STōK Cae Ras, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.