Match

Trethomas Bluebirds vs Pontypridd Town: prediction and stats

FAW ChampionshipSouth - 27Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)CCB Centre for Sporting Excellence, Ystrad Mynach, Caerphilly

Trethomas BluebirdsPontypridd Town

The Footlab model makes Pontypridd Town the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Trethomas Bluebirds. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Trethomas Bluebirds vs Pontypridd Town?

A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Trethomas Bluebirds (1,511) and Pontypridd Town (1,599).

Trethomas Bluebirds win37 %
Draw23 %
Pontypridd Town win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trethomas Bluebirds have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Pontypridd Town have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Trethomas Bluebirds
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Pontypridd Town(away)1-2FAW Championship
Aug 14, 2026Caerau (Ely)(home)2-4FAW Championship
Aug 7, 2026llanelli AFC(away)1-1FAW Championship
Jul 31, 2026Baglan Dragons(home)0-0FAW Championship
Jul 14, 2026Barry Town(away)1-5Friendlies Clubs
Pontypridd Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Trethomas Bluebirds(home)2-1FAW Championship
Aug 15, 2026Cardiff Draconians(away)4-1FAW Championship
Aug 7, 2026Pontardawe Town(home)3-2FAW Championship
Aug 1, 2026Treowen Stars(away)3-2FAW Championship
Apr 18, 2026Caerau (Ely)(home)0-0FAW Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Trethomas Bluebirds win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Pontypridd Town win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Pontypridd Town 2-1 Trethomas BluebirdsFAW Championship
Mar 20, 2026Trethomas Bluebirds 4-2 Pontypridd TownFAW Championship
Nov 28, 2025Pontypridd Town 2-1 Trethomas BluebirdsFAW Championship
Apr 12, 2025Trethomas Bluebirds 4-0 Pontypridd TownFAW Championship
Sep 14, 2024Pontypridd Town 2-3 Trethomas BluebirdsFAW Championship

Last archived meeting: Pontypridd Town vs Trethomas Bluebirds on Aug 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Trethomas Bluebirds score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Pontypridd Town score 2.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Trethomas Bluebirds1.52.3310/159/15
Pontypridd Town2.11.6410/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Trethomas Bluebirds sit 14th in FAW Championship (2 points from 4 matches) and Pontypridd Town sit 2nd (12 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Pontypridd Town440012612
14Trethomas Bluebirds4022472

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Trethomas Bluebirds vs Pontypridd Town?
The Footlab model makes Pontypridd Town the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Trethomas Bluebirds.
Where and when is Trethomas Bluebirds vs Pontypridd Town played?
Trethomas Bluebirds vs Pontypridd Town is played on March 27, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at CCB Centre for Sporting Excellence, in the FAW Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Trethomas Bluebirds and Pontypridd Town

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