Trethomas Bluebirds vs Pontypridd Town: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 27Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)CCB Centre for Sporting Excellence, Ystrad Mynach, Caerphilly
The Footlab model makes Pontypridd Town the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Trethomas Bluebirds. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Trethomas Bluebirds vs Pontypridd Town?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Trethomas Bluebirds (1,511) and Pontypridd Town (1,599).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trethomas Bluebirds have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Pontypridd Town have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Pontypridd Town(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(home) | 2-4 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | llanelli AFC(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Baglan Dragons(home) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Barry Town(away) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Trethomas Bluebirds(home) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cardiff Draconians(away) | 4-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Pontardawe Town(home) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Treowen Stars(away) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(home) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Trethomas Bluebirds win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Pontypridd Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Pontypridd Town 2-1 Trethomas Bluebirds | FAW Championship |
| Mar 20, 2026 | Trethomas Bluebirds 4-2 Pontypridd Town | FAW Championship |
| Nov 28, 2025 | Pontypridd Town 2-1 Trethomas Bluebirds | FAW Championship |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Trethomas Bluebirds 4-0 Pontypridd Town | FAW Championship |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Pontypridd Town 2-3 Trethomas Bluebirds | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Pontypridd Town vs Trethomas Bluebirds on Aug 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Trethomas Bluebirds score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Pontypridd Town score 2.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trethomas Bluebirds | 1.5 | 2.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Pontypridd Town | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Trethomas Bluebirds sit 14th in FAW Championship (2 points from 4 matches) and Pontypridd Town sit 2nd (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Pontypridd Town | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 12 |
| 14 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Trethomas Bluebirds vs Pontypridd Town?
- The Footlab model makes Pontypridd Town the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Trethomas Bluebirds.
- Where and when is Trethomas Bluebirds vs Pontypridd Town played?
- Trethomas Bluebirds vs Pontypridd Town is played on March 27, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at CCB Centre for Sporting Excellence, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 26, 2027Afan Lidovsllanelli AFC
- Mar 27, 2027Carmarthen TownvsNewport City
- Mar 27, 2027Caerau (Ely)vsAberystwyth Town
- Mar 27, 2027Swansea UniversityvsBaglan Dragons
- Mar 27, 2027Cardiff DraconiansvsTreowen Stars
- Mar 27, 2027Pontardawe TownvsLlantwit Major
- Mar 27, 2027Ynyshir AlbionsvsCaerphilly Athletic