Trethomas Bluebirds vs Pontypridd Town: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 27Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)CCB Centre for Sporting Excellence, Ystrad Mynach, Caerphilly
The Footlab AI model makes Pontypridd Town the favourite at 44%, against 21% for a draw and 35% for Trethomas Bluebirds. The most likely score is 2-2. If Pontypridd Town wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.4% of the 3,651 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Trethomas Bluebirds vs Pontypridd Town?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Trethomas Bluebirds (1,542) and Pontypridd Town (1,581).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Trethomas Bluebirds vs Pontypridd Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Trethomas Bluebirds
Not enough data to predict the Trethomas Bluebirds lineup.
Pontypridd Town
Not enough data to predict the Pontypridd Town lineup.
Computed on October 26, 2026 at 06:36 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trethomas Bluebirds have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Pontypridd Town have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Cardiff Draconians(home) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Cambrian & Clydach(away) | 0-5 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Treowen Stars(away) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Pontardawe Town(home) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ynyshir Albions(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Newport City(away) | 4-4 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Baglan Dragons(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Llantwit Major(home) | 4-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Aberystwyth Town(home) | 1-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Caerphilly Athletic(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Trethomas Bluebirds wins, 0 draws, 2 Pontypridd Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Pontypridd Town 2-1 Trethomas Bluebirds | FAW Championship |
| Mar 20, 2026 | Trethomas Bluebirds 4-2 Pontypridd Town | FAW Championship |
| Nov 28, 2025 | Pontypridd Town 2-1 Trethomas Bluebirds | FAW Championship |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Trethomas Bluebirds 4-0 Pontypridd Town | FAW Championship |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Pontypridd Town 2-3 Trethomas Bluebirds | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Pontypridd Town vs Trethomas Bluebirds on Aug 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Trethomas Bluebirds score 1.9 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Pontypridd Town score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 80% probability of over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trethomas Bluebirds | 1.9 | 2.3 | 1 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
| Pontypridd Town | 2.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Trethomas Bluebirds sit 7th in FAW Championship (16 points from 11 matches) and Pontypridd Town sit 2nd (21 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Pontypridd Town | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 21 | 21 |
| 7 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 19 | 16 |
A question about Trethomas Bluebirds vs Pontypridd Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Trethomas Bluebirds vs Pontypridd Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pontypridd Town the favourite at 44%, against 21% for a draw and 35% for Trethomas Bluebirds.
- Where and when is Trethomas Bluebirds vs Pontypridd Town played?
- Trethomas Bluebirds vs Pontypridd Town is played on March 27, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at CCB Centre for Sporting Excellence, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 80% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 26, 2027Afan Lidovsllanelli AFC
- Mar 27, 2027Carmarthen TownvsNewport City
- Mar 27, 2027Caerau (Ely)vsAberystwyth Town
- Mar 27, 2027Swansea UniversityvsBaglan Dragons
- Mar 27, 2027Cardiff DraconiansvsTreowen Stars
- Mar 27, 2027Pontardawe TownvsLlantwit Major
- Mar 27, 2027Ynyshir AlbionsvsCaerphilly Athletic