Young Africans vs Gaborone United: prediction and stats
CAF Champions LeagueSemi-finalsKick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Azam Complex Stadium, Mbagala
The Footlab model makes Young Africans the favourite at 70%, against 21% for a draw and 8% for Gaborone United. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Young Africans vs Gaborone United?
Young Africans starts as the favourite with a 263-point Elo edge (1,971 vs 1,708).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Young Africans have 13 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Gaborone United have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Coastal Union(home) | 4-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Namungo(away) | 3-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(away) | 3-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Tabora United(home) | 3-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Azam(home) | 3-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | BDF XI(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| May 20, 2026 | Centre Chiefs(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 13, 2026 | Calendar(home) | 5-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | TAFIC(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Orapa United(home) | 6-2 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Young Africans score 2.9 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Gaborone United score 2.1 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Young Africans | 2.9 | 0.5 | 10 | 5/15 | 12/15 |
| Gaborone United | 2.1 | 0.5 | 11 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Young Africans | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Young Africans vs Gaborone United?
- The Footlab model makes Young Africans the favourite at 70%, against 21% for a draw and 8% for Gaborone United.
- Where and when is Young Africans vs Gaborone United played?
- Young Africans vs Gaborone United is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Azam Complex Stadium, in the CAF Champions League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.