Congo DR vs Zimbabwe: prediction and stats
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationQualification - 6Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade des Martyrs de la Pentecôte, Kinshasa
The Footlab AI model makes Congo DR the favourite at 69%, against 21% for a draw and 10% for Zimbabwe. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Congo DR vs Zimbabwe?
Congo DR starts as the favourite with a 218-point Elo edge (1,680 vs 1,462).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Congo DR vs Zimbabwe
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Congo DR
4-4-2- 20Y. Wissa
- 23J. Muleka
- 7N. Mbuku
- 14N. Sadiki
- 6E. Banzuzi
- 18J. Kadile
- 22C. Mbemba
- 3S. Kapuadi
- 12J. Kayembe
- 4A. Tuanzebe
- 1D. Bertaud
Zimbabwe
4-4-2- 20T. Chirewa
- 9T. Ngwenya
- 8M. Munetsi
- 18M. Nakamba
- 19Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
- 14B. Antonio
- 4M. Garananga
- 2Shane Maroodza
- 10A. Rinomhota
- 12C. Mthunzi
- 1E. Chipezeze
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:06 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Congo DR have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Zimbabwe have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2026 | Uganda(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Uganda(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Zimbabwe(away) | 2-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Equatorial Guinea(home) | 2-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jul 1, 2026 | England(away) | 1-2 | World Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2026 | Congo DR(home) | 1-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Sierra Leone(away) | 3-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| May 30, 2026 | India(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| May 26, 2026 | Nigeria(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Zambia U23(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Congo DR wins, 1 draw, 1 Zimbabwe win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2026 | Zimbabwe 1-2 Congo DR | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 30, 2019 | Zimbabwe 0-4 Congo DR | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Oct 16, 2018 | Zimbabwe 1-1 Congo DR | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Oct 13, 2018 | Congo DR 1-2 Zimbabwe | Africa Cup of Nations |
How many goals should we expect?
Congo DR score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Zimbabwe score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Congo DR | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Zimbabwe | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Congo DR sit 1st in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (6 points from 2 matches) and Zimbabwe sit 2nd (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Congo DR | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Zimbabwe | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
A question about Congo DR vs Zimbabwe?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Congo DR vs Zimbabwe?
- The Footlab AI model makes Congo DR the favourite at 69%, against 21% for a draw and 10% for Zimbabwe.
- Where and when is Congo DR vs Zimbabwe played?
- Congo DR vs Zimbabwe is played on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade des Martyrs de la Pentecôte, in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.