Match

1. FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)RheinEnergieSTADION, Köln

1. FC KölnBorussia Mönchengladbach

The Footlab model makes Borussia Mönchengladbach the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for 1. FC Köln. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win 1. FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?

A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate 1. FC Köln (2,028) and Borussia Mönchengladbach (2,089).

1. FC Köln win36 %
Draw24 %
Borussia Mönchengladbach win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1. FC Köln have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Borussia Mönchengladbach have 8, 5 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

1. FC Köln
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 8, 2026Real Sociedad(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 31, 2026Hertha BSC(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 23, 2026Bergisch Gladbach(away)8-0Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026Bayern München(away)1-5Bundesliga
May 10, 20261. FC Heidenheim(home)1-3Bundesliga
Borussia Mönchengladbach
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Aston Villa(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 12, 2026SSVg Velbert(away)8-0Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Hansa Rostock(away)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Rot-Weiß Essen(away)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026Wuppertaler SV(away)6-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 1. FC Köln win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Borussia Mönchengladbach win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 21, 20261. FC Köln 3-3 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga
Nov 8, 2025Borussia Mönchengladbach 3-1 1. FC KölnBundesliga
Mar 9, 2024Borussia Mönchengladbach 3-3 1. FC KölnBundesliga
Oct 22, 20231. FC Köln 3-1 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga
Apr 2, 20231. FC Köln 0-0 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga
Oct 9, 2022Borussia Mönchengladbach 5-2 1. FC KölnBundesliga

Last archived meeting: 1. FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach on Mar 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

1. FC Köln score 2.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Borussia Mönchengladbach score 2.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
1. FC Köln2.01.9113/1512/15
Borussia Mönchengladbach2.71.159/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

1. FC Köln sit 14th in Bundesliga (32 points from 34 matches) and Borussia Mönchengladbach sit 12th (38 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Borussia Mönchengladbach3491114425338
141. FC Köln3471116496332

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for 1. FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
The Footlab model makes Borussia Mönchengladbach the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for 1. FC Köln.
Where and when is 1. FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach played?
1. FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach is played on October 10, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at RheinEnergieSTADION, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: 1. FC Köln and Borussia Mönchengladbach

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