1. FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)RheinEnergieSTADION, Köln
The Footlab model makes Borussia Mönchengladbach the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for 1. FC Köln. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win 1. FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate 1. FC Köln (2,028) and Borussia Mönchengladbach (2,089).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1. FC Köln have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Borussia Mönchengladbach have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Sociedad(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Hertha BSC(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Bergisch Gladbach(away) | 8-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Bayern München(away) | 1-5 | Bundesliga |
| May 10, 2026 | 1. FC Heidenheim(home) | 1-3 | Bundesliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Aston Villa(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | SSVg Velbert(away) | 8-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hansa Rostock(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Essen(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Wuppertaler SV(away) | 6-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 1. FC Köln win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Borussia Mönchengladbach win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1. FC Köln 3-3 Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 3-1 1. FC Köln | Bundesliga |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 3-3 1. FC Köln | Bundesliga |
| Oct 22, 2023 | 1. FC Köln 3-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1. FC Köln 0-0 Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga |
| Oct 9, 2022 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 5-2 1. FC Köln | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: 1. FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
1. FC Köln score 2.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Borussia Mönchengladbach score 2.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Köln | 2.0 | 1.9 | 1 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | 2.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
1. FC Köln sit 14th in Bundesliga (32 points from 34 matches) and Borussia Mönchengladbach sit 12th (38 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 53 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Köln | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49 | 63 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for 1. FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
- The Footlab model makes Borussia Mönchengladbach the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for 1. FC Köln.
- Where and when is 1. FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach played?
- 1. FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach is played on October 10, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at RheinEnergieSTADION, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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