Match

1. FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)RheinEnergieSTADION, Köln

1. FC KölnBorussia Mönchengladbach

The Footlab AI model makes 1. FC Köln the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Borussia Mönchengladbach. The most likely score is 1-1. If 1. FC Köln wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win 1. FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?

A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate 1. FC Köln (2,044) and Borussia Mönchengladbach (2,067).

40%23%37%
1. FC Köln winDrawBorussia Mönchengladbach win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for 1. FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

1. FC Köln

4-2-3-1
  1. 27T. Dallinga
  1. 5T. Krauß
  2. 6E. Skhiri
  3. 37L. Maina
  4. 47M. Moore
  5. 29J. Thielmann
  1. 24L. Lochoshvili
  2. 22Jahmai Simpson-Pusey
  3. 14G. Mensah
  4. 17A. Castro-Montes
  1. 1M. Schwäbe

Borussia Mönchengladbach

3-4-2-1
  1. 11T. Kleindienst
  1. 16P. Sander
  2. 29J. Scally
  3. 38H. Bolin
  4. 9F. Honorat
  5. 26L. Ullrich
  6. 25R. Hack
  1. 4K. Diks
  2. 6K. Itakura
  3. 5J. Leszczyński
  1. 1M. Nicolas

Computed on October 8, 2026 at 10:04 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1. FC Köln have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Borussia Mönchengladbach have 9, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

1. FC Köln
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026FC Viktoria Köln(away)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026Hamburger SV(away)1-2Bundesliga
Sep 12, 2026Werder Bremen(home)1-1Bundesliga
Sep 4, 2026VfB Stuttgart(away)1-4Bundesliga
Aug 29, 20261899 Hoffenheim(home)3-2Bundesliga
Borussia Mönchengladbach
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026FC St. Pauli(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026FSV Mainz 05(home)3-4Bundesliga
Sep 12, 2026SC Freiburg(away)0-5Bundesliga
Sep 5, 2026SV Elversberg(home)3-4Bundesliga
Aug 29, 2026RB Leipzig(away)0-3Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 1. FC Köln win, 3 draws, 2 Borussia Mönchengladbach wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 21, 20261. FC Köln 3-3 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga
Nov 8, 2025Borussia Mönchengladbach 3-1 1. FC KölnBundesliga
Mar 9, 2024Borussia Mönchengladbach 3-3 1. FC KölnBundesliga
Oct 22, 20231. FC Köln 3-1 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga
Apr 2, 20231. FC Köln 0-0 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga
Oct 9, 2022Borussia Mönchengladbach 5-2 1. FC KölnBundesliga

Last archived meeting: 1. FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach on Mar 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

1. FC Köln score 2.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Borussia Mönchengladbach score 3.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
1. FC Köln2.11.9114/1513/15
Borussia Mönchengladbach3.01.758/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

1. FC Köln sit 13th in Bundesliga (4 points from 4 matches) and Borussia Mönchengladbach sit 18th (0 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
131. FC Köln4112694
18Borussia Mönchengladbach40046160

A question about 1. FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for 1. FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
The Footlab AI model makes 1. FC Köln the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Borussia Mönchengladbach.
Where and when is 1. FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach played?
1. FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach is played on October 11, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at RheinEnergieSTADION, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: 1. FC Köln and Borussia Mönchengladbach

Ready to know everything about football?