Where and when is RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt played?

RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt is played on October 10, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Red Bull Arena, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Red Bull Arena, Leipzig

RB Leipzig

Eintracht Frankfurt

The Footlab model makes RB Leipzig the favourite at 51%, against 21% for a draw and 27% for Eintracht Frankfurt. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate RB Leipzig (2,211) and Eintracht Frankfurt (2,121).

RB Leipzig win51 %

Draw21 %

Eintracht Frankfurt win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, RB Leipzig have 10 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats; Eintracht Frankfurt have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

RB Leipzig
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Eintracht Trier(away)	6-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Bayern München(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Leeds(away)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Verl(home)	4-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	FC Ingolstadt 04(home)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs

Eintracht Frankfurt
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	SC St. Tönis(away)	11-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Brentford(away)	0-7	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 12, 2026	FSV Frankfurt(away)	5-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Hull City(home)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Waldhof Mannheim(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 RB Leipzig win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Eintracht Frankfurt win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	Eintracht Frankfurt 1-3 RB Leipzig	Bundesliga
Dec 6, 2025	RB Leipzig 6-0 Eintracht Frankfurt	Bundesliga
Apr 26, 2025	Eintracht Frankfurt 4-0 RB Leipzig	Bundesliga
Dec 15, 2024	RB Leipzig 2-1 Eintracht Frankfurt	Bundesliga
Dec 4, 2024	RB Leipzig 3-0 Eintracht Frankfurt	DFB Pokal
May 18, 2024	Eintracht Frankfurt 2-2 RB Leipzig	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Eintracht Frankfurt vs RB Leipzig on Apr 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

RB Leipzig score 2.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Eintracht Frankfurt score 3.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
RB Leipzig	2.2	1.4	5	9/15	12/15
Eintracht Frankfurt	3.1	1.7	4	10/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

RB Leipzig sit 3rd in Bundesliga (65 points from 34 matches) and Eintracht Frankfurt sit 8th (44 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	RB Leipzig	34	20	5	9	66	47	65
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	11	11	12	61	65	44

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt?: The Footlab model makes RB Leipzig the favourite at 51%, against 21% for a draw and 27% for Eintracht Frankfurt.
Where and when is RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt played?: RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt is played on October 10, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Red Bull Arena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.