Match

SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg im Breisgau

SC FreiburgFC Schalke 04

The Footlab AI model makes SC Freiburg the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for FC Schalke 04. The most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04?

SC Freiburg starts as the favourite with a 148-point Elo edge (2,224 vs 2,077).

59%21%20%
SC Freiburg winDrawFC Schalke 04 win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

SC Freiburg

4-2-3-1
  1. 31I. Matanović
  1. 19J. Beste
  2. 8M. Eggestein
  3. 14Y. Suzuki
  4. 16Y. Engelhardt
  5. 7D. Scherhant
  1. 28M. Ginter
  2. 33J. Makengo
  3. 3P. Lienhart
  4. 29P. Treu
  1. 1M. Backhaus

FC Schalke 04

3-4-2-1
  1. 9M. Sylla
  1. 8R. Gosens
  2. 24A. Aouchiche
  3. 23S. El-Faouzi
  4. 19K. Karaman
  5. 29J. Dina Ebimbe
  6. 13S. Tanaka
  1. 4H. Kuruçay
  2. 5T. Becker
  3. 25N. Katić
  1. 1L. Karius

Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:40 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SC Freiburg have 12 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats; FC Schalke 04 have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SC Freiburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026FC Luzern(home)4-2Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt(away)2-2Bundesliga
Sep 12, 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach(home)5-0Bundesliga
Sep 5, 2026SC Paderborn 07(away)1-0Bundesliga
Aug 30, 2026Werder Bremen(home)4-1Bundesliga
FC Schalke 04
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Austria Lustenau(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Sep 20, 2026SV Elversberg(home)0-0Bundesliga
Sep 11, 2026Union Berlin(away)3-1Bundesliga
Sep 5, 2026Bayern München(home)0-0Bundesliga
Aug 30, 2026FC Augsburg(away)0-3Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 SC Freiburg wins, 1 draw, 0 FC Schalke 04 wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 23, 2023SC Freiburg 4-0 FC Schalke 04Bundesliga
Oct 30, 2022FC Schalke 04 0-2 SC FreiburgBundesliga
Apr 17, 2021SC Freiburg 4-0 FC Schalke 04Bundesliga
Dec 16, 2020FC Schalke 04 0-2 SC FreiburgBundesliga
Jun 27, 2020SC Freiburg 4-0 FC Schalke 04Bundesliga
Dec 21, 2019FC Schalke 04 2-2 SC FreiburgBundesliga

Last archived meeting: SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04 on Apr 23, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

SC Freiburg score 3.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; FC Schalke 04 score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
SC Freiburg3.01.1410/1513/15
FC Schalke 041.71.365/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SC Freiburg sit 3rd in Bundesliga (10 points from 4 matches) and FC Schalke 04 sit 11th (5 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3SC Freiburg431012310
11FC Schalke 044121345

A question about SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04?
The Footlab AI model makes SC Freiburg the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for FC Schalke 04.
Where and when is SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04 played?
SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04 is played on October 11, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Europa-Park Stadion, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: SC Freiburg and FC Schalke 04

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