Where and when is SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04 played?

SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04 is played on October 10, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Europa-Park Stadion, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg im Breisgau

SC Freiburg

FC Schalke 04

The Footlab model makes SC Freiburg the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for FC Schalke 04. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04?

SC Freiburg starts as the favourite with a 140-point Elo edge (2,178 vs 2,039).

SC Freiburg win55 %

Draw22 %

FC Schalke 04 win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SC Freiburg have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; FC Schalke 04 have 10, 0 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SC Freiburg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Fortuna Düsseldorf(away)	5-1	DFB Pokal
Aug 20, 2026	Motherwell(away)	3-1	UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 15, 2026	Crystal Palace(home)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Strasbourg(home)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 24, 2026	Derby(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs

FC Schalke 04
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 16, 2026	Real Madrid(home)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Atalanta(home)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Hessen Kassel(away)	5-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Fagiano Okayama(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 22, 2026	Metalist 1925 Kharkiv(away)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 SC Freiburg win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 FC Schalke 04 win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 23, 2023	SC Freiburg 4-0 FC Schalke 04	Bundesliga
Oct 30, 2022	FC Schalke 04 0-2 SC Freiburg	Bundesliga
Apr 17, 2021	SC Freiburg 4-0 FC Schalke 04	Bundesliga
Dec 16, 2020	FC Schalke 04 0-2 SC Freiburg	Bundesliga
Jun 27, 2020	SC Freiburg 4-0 FC Schalke 04	Bundesliga
Dec 21, 2019	FC Schalke 04 2-2 SC Freiburg	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04 on Apr 23, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

SC Freiburg score 2.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; FC Schalke 04 score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
SC Freiburg	2.2	1.5	2	11/15	13/15
FC Schalke 04	1.8	1.3	5	6/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	SC Freiburg	34	13	8	13	51	57	47

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04?: The Footlab model makes SC Freiburg the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for FC Schalke 04.
Where and when is SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04 played?: SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04 is played on October 10, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Europa-Park Stadion, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.