Match

Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadion An der Alten Försterei, Berlin

Union BerlinSV Elversberg

The Footlab AI model makes SV Elversberg the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Union Berlin. The most likely score is 1-1. If SV Elversberg wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg?

SV Elversberg starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (2,119 vs 2,009).

37%24%39%
Union Berlin winDrawSV Elversberg win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Union Berlin

4-1-2-1-2
  1. 29E. Latte Lath
  2. 11Jeong Woo-Yeong
  1. 8R. Khedira
  2. 20M. Aebischer
  3. 6A. Kemlein
  4. 13A. Schäfer
  1. 15T. Rothe
  2. 2F. Uduokhai
  3. 14L. Querfeld
  4. 18J. Juranović
  1. 1F. Rønnow

Known absences

  • Andrik MarkgrafOut · Knee injury
  • M. FriedrichOut · Knock
  • A. IlićDoubtful · Illness
  • O. BurkeDoubtful · Achilles injury
  • S. NsokiDoubtful · Muscle injury

SV Elversberg

4-2-3-1
  1. 42D. Mokwa
  1. 25L. Petkov
  2. 43F. Keidel
  3. 8Ł. Poręba
  4. 39William Cole Campbell
  5. 40Francis-Ikechukwu Onyeka
  1. 21L. Günther
  2. 30J. Gyamerah
  3. 31M. Rohr
  4. 19L. Pinckert
  1. 20N. Kristof

Known absences

  • L. SeifertOut · Ankle injury
  • L. SchnellbacherDoubtful · Injured

Computed on October 8, 2026 at 08:04 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union Berlin have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; SV Elversberg have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Union Berlin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 18, 2026Bayern München(away)0-7Bundesliga
Sep 11, 2026FC Schalke 04(home)1-3Bundesliga
Sep 5, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(away)0-4Bundesliga
Aug 29, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt(home)3-3Bundesliga
Aug 23, 2026Eintracht Braunschweig(away)4-2DFB Pokal
SV Elversberg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 20, 2026FC Schalke 04(away)0-0Bundesliga
Sep 13, 2026Bayern München(home)1-2Bundesliga
Sep 5, 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach(away)4-3Bundesliga
Aug 29, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(home)3-2Bundesliga
Aug 22, 2026MSV Duisburg(away)3-1DFB Pokal

How many goals should we expect?

Union Berlin score 2.3 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; SV Elversberg score 2.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Union Berlin2.32.5111/1512/15
SV Elversberg2.51.3411/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Union Berlin sit 17th in Bundesliga (1 point from 4 matches) and SV Elversberg sit 7th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7SV Elversberg4211877
17Union Berlin40134171

A question about Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg?
The Footlab AI model makes SV Elversberg the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Union Berlin.
Where and when is Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg played?
Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg is played on October 10, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion An der Alten Försterei, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Union Berlin and SV Elversberg

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