Where and when is Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg played?

Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg is played on October 10, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion An der Alten Försterei, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadion An der Alten Försterei, Berlin

Union Berlin

SV Elversberg

The Footlab model makes SV Elversberg the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Union Berlin. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg?

A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Union Berlin (2,012) and SV Elversberg (2,090).

Union Berlin win35 %

Draw24 %

SV Elversberg win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union Berlin have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; SV Elversberg have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Union Berlin
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Eintracht Braunschweig(away)	4-2	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Ipswich(home)	2-4	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 9, 2026	Aris(home)	3-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 2, 2026	Cagliari(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Dynamo Dresden(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs

SV Elversberg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	MSV Duisburg(away)	3-1	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Lorient(home)	4-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Mallorca(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 4, 2026	Strasbourg(away)	5-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	NEC Nijmegen(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Union Berlin score 2.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; SV Elversberg score 2.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Union Berlin	2.5	1.9	1	13/15	12/15
SV Elversberg	2.5	1.2	4	11/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	Union Berlin	34	10	9	15	44	58	39

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg?: The Footlab model makes SV Elversberg the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Union Berlin.
Where and when is Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg played?: Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg is played on October 10, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion An der Alten Försterei, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.