Match

FC Augsburg vs Bayern München: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)WWK Arena, Augsburg

FC AugsburgBayern München

The Footlab AI model makes Bayern München the favourite at 76%, against 13% for a draw and 11% for FC Augsburg. The most likely score is 1-3.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Augsburg vs Bayern München?

Bayern München is a heavy favourite: 2,534 Elo points against 2,100, a 434-point gap.

11%13%76%
FC Augsburg winDrawBayern München win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for FC Augsburg vs Bayern München

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

FC Augsburg

3-4-2-1
  1. 11M. Gregoritsch
  1. 27M. Wolf
  2. 16Hennes Behrens
  3. 4H. Massengo
  4. 19R. Fellhauer
  5. 32F. Rieder
  6. 21A. Ibrahimović
  1. 2C. Brackelmann
  2. 40Noahkai Kai Daniel Banks
  3. 5C. Matsima
  1. 1F. Dahmen

Known absences

  • K. SusoOut · Muscle injury
  • A. KadeDoubtful · Calf injury
  • S. MouniéDoubtful · Injured
  • T. BreithauptDoubtful · Toe injury
  • U. OgunduDoubtful · Muscle injury

Bayern München

4-2-3-1
  1. 9H. Kane
  1. 45A. Pavlović
  2. 17M. Olise
  3. 6J. Kimmich
  4. 14L. Díaz
  5. 34I. Saibari
  1. 2D. Upamecano
  2. 44J. Stanišić
  3. 19A. Davies
  4. 4J. Tah
  1. 1M. Neuer

Known absences

  • J. MusialaOut · Muscle injury
  • N. BrownOut · Injured
  • T. BuchmannOut · Knee injury

Computed on October 8, 2026 at 11:46 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Augsburg have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Bayern München have 13, 1 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Augsburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 2, 2026Hertha BSC(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026Werder Bremen(away)2-3Bundesliga
Sep 12, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(home)2-2Bundesliga
Sep 6, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt(away)4-1Bundesliga
Aug 30, 2026FC Schalke 04(home)3-0Bundesliga
Bayern München
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 18, 2026Union Berlin(home)7-0Bundesliga
Sep 13, 2026SV Elversberg(away)2-1Bundesliga
Sep 10, 2026Bodo/Glimt(home)5-0UEFA Champions League
Sep 5, 2026FC Schalke 04(away)0-0Bundesliga
Sep 2, 2026VfL Osnabrück(away)4-1DFB Pokal

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FC Augsburg win, 0 draws, 5 Bayern München wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 24, 2026Bayern München 1-2 FC AugsburgBundesliga
Aug 30, 2025FC Augsburg 2-3 Bayern MünchenBundesliga
Apr 4, 2025FC Augsburg 1-3 Bayern MünchenBundesliga
Nov 22, 2024Bayern München 3-0 FC AugsburgBundesliga
Jan 27, 2024FC Augsburg 2-3 Bayern MünchenBundesliga
Aug 27, 2023Bayern München 3-1 FC AugsburgBundesliga

Last archived meeting: Bayern München vs FC Augsburg on Jan 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Augsburg score 2.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Bayern München score 3.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 83% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Augsburg2.91.8310/1512/15
Bayern München3.10.8510/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Augsburg sit 4th in Bundesliga (7 points from 4 matches) and Bayern München sit 2nd (10 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Bayern München431014210
4FC Augsburg42111167

A question about FC Augsburg vs Bayern München?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Augsburg vs Bayern München?
The Footlab AI model makes Bayern München the favourite at 76%, against 13% for a draw and 11% for FC Augsburg.
Where and when is FC Augsburg vs Bayern München played?
FC Augsburg vs Bayern München is played on October 10, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at WWK Arena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 83% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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