Where and when is 1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV played?

1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV is played on October 10, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at PreZero Arena, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)PreZero Arena, Sinsheim

1899 Hoffenheim

Hamburger SV

The Footlab model makes 1899 Hoffenheim the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Hamburger SV. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win 1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV?

A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate 1899 Hoffenheim (2,147) and Hamburger SV (2,048).

1899 Hoffenheim win60 %

Draw21 %

Hamburger SV win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1899 Hoffenheim have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Hamburger SV have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

1899 Hoffenheim
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 16, 2026	Tottenham(away)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Karlsruher SC(home)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026	Holstein Kiel(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	SGV Freiberg(away)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026	Borussia Mönchengladbach(away)	0-4	Bundesliga

Hamburger SV
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Toulouse(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Lille(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Everton(home)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Rapid Vienna(away)	2-3	Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026	Bayer Leverkusen(away)	1-1	Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 1899 Hoffenheim win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Hamburger SV win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Hamburger SV 1-2 1899 Hoffenheim	Bundesliga
Dec 13, 2025	1899 Hoffenheim 4-1 Hamburger SV	Bundesliga
Apr 14, 2018	1899 Hoffenheim 2-0 Hamburger SV	Bundesliga
Nov 26, 2017	Hamburger SV 3-0 1899 Hoffenheim	Bundesliga
Apr 8, 2017	Hamburger SV 2-1 1899 Hoffenheim	Bundesliga
Nov 20, 2016	1899 Hoffenheim 2-2 Hamburger SV	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Hamburger SV vs 1899 Hoffenheim on Apr 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

1899 Hoffenheim score 1.9 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Hamburger SV score 1.4 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
1899 Hoffenheim	1.9	2.0	3	9/15	13/15
Hamburger SV	1.4	1.9	0	13/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

1899 Hoffenheim sit 5th in Bundesliga (61 points from 34 matches) and Hamburger SV sit 13th (38 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	1899 Hoffenheim	34	18	7	9	65	52	61
13	Hamburger SV	34	9	11	14	40	54	38

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for 1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV?: The Footlab model makes 1899 Hoffenheim the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Hamburger SV.
Where and when is 1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV played?: 1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV is played on October 10, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at PreZero Arena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.