Match

1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)PreZero Arena, Sinsheim

1899 HoffenheimHamburger SV

The Footlab AI model makes 1899 Hoffenheim the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Hamburger SV. The most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win 1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV?

On Elo ratings, 1899 Hoffenheim has 2,120 points and Hamburger SV 2,056.

60%21%19%
1899 Hoffenheim winDrawHamburger SV win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for 1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

1899 Hoffenheim

4-4-2
  1. 10A. Hložek
  2. 19T. Lemperle
  1. 7L. Avdullahu
  2. 18W. Burger
  3. 14A. Daghim
  4. 20B. Conté
  1. 34V. Coufal
  2. 5O. Kabak
  3. 39M. Rots
  4. 21A. Hajdari
  1. 1O. Baumann

Known absences

  • BernardoDoubtful · Achilles injury

Hamburger SV

3-4-2-1
  1. 15Y. Poulsen
  1. 21N. Remberg
  2. 6A. Sambi Lokonga
  3. 3D. Møller Wolfe
  4. 7Z. El Ouahdi
  5. 20Fábio Vieira
  6. 5M. Adeline
  1. 23J. Torunarigha
  2. 24N. Capaldo
  3. 43S. Nandja
  1. 1Daniel Heuer Fernandes

Known absences

  • A. GrønbækOut · Thigh injury
  • M. VuškovićOut · Doping
  • P. DakaOut · Thigh injury
  • Alexander Røssing-LelesiitDoubtful · Ankle injury
  • T. MoffiDoubtful · Knee injury

Computed on October 8, 2026 at 08:03 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1899 Hoffenheim have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; Hamburger SV have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

1899 Hoffenheim
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 20, 2026SC Paderborn 07(away)1-3Bundesliga
Sep 17, 2026OFI(away)0-2UEFA Europa League
Sep 12, 2026VfB Stuttgart(home)2-1Bundesliga
Sep 5, 2026Borussia Dortmund(home)2-3Bundesliga
Aug 29, 20261. FC Köln(away)2-3Bundesliga
Hamburger SV
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 4, 2026FC Copenhagen(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 20261. FC Köln(home)2-1Bundesliga
Sep 13, 2026RB Leipzig(away)0-5Bundesliga
Sep 6, 2026FSV Mainz 05(home)0-5Bundesliga
Aug 29, 2026Borussia Dortmund(away)0-2Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 1899 Hoffenheim wins, 1 draw, 2 Hamburger SV wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Hamburger SV 1-2 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga
Dec 13, 20251899 Hoffenheim 4-1 Hamburger SVBundesliga
Apr 14, 20181899 Hoffenheim 2-0 Hamburger SVBundesliga
Nov 26, 2017Hamburger SV 3-0 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga
Apr 8, 2017Hamburger SV 2-1 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga
Nov 20, 20161899 Hoffenheim 2-2 Hamburger SVBundesliga

Last archived meeting: Hamburger SV vs 1899 Hoffenheim on Apr 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

1899 Hoffenheim score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Hamburger SV score 1.5 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
1899 Hoffenheim1.91.748/1513/15
Hamburger SV1.52.0210/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

1899 Hoffenheim sit 14th in Bundesliga (3 points from 4 matches) and Hamburger SV sit 16th (3 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
141899 Hoffenheim41037103
16Hamburger SV41032133

A question about 1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for 1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV?
The Footlab AI model makes 1899 Hoffenheim the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Hamburger SV.
Where and when is 1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV played?
1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV is played on October 10, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at PreZero Arena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: 1899 Hoffenheim and Hamburger SV

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