Where and when is SC Paderborn 07 vs FC Schalke 04 played?

SC Paderborn 07 vs FC Schalke 04 is played on November 28, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Home Deluxe Arena, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

SC Paderborn 07 vs FC Schalke 04: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn

SC Paderborn 07

FC Schalke 04

The Footlab model makes SC Paderborn 07 the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for FC Schalke 04. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SC Paderborn 07 vs FC Schalke 04?

A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate SC Paderborn 07 (2,090) and FC Schalke 04 (2,062).

SC Paderborn 07 win41 %

Draw24 %

FC Schalke 04 win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SC Paderborn 07 have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; FC Schalke 04 have 11, 0 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SC Paderborn 07
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Phönix Lübeck(away)	4-2	DFB Pokal
Aug 8, 2026	Werder Bremen(away)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	VfL Osnabrück(away)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 25, 2026	VfL Wolfsburg(home)	2-1	Bundesliga
May 21, 2026	VfL Wolfsburg(away)	0-0	Bundesliga

FC Schalke 04
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Hallescher FC(away)	5-2	DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026	Real Madrid(home)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Atalanta(home)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Hessen Kassel(away)	5-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Fagiano Okayama(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 SC Paderborn 07 win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 FC Schalke 04 win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 26, 2026	SC Paderborn 07 2-3 FC Schalke 04	2. Bundesliga
Nov 28, 2025	FC Schalke 04 2-1 SC Paderborn 07	2. Bundesliga
May 2, 2025	FC Schalke 04 0-2 SC Paderborn 07	2. Bundesliga
Dec 6, 2024	SC Paderborn 07 2-4 FC Schalke 04	2. Bundesliga
Mar 9, 2024	FC Schalke 04 3-3 SC Paderborn 07	2. Bundesliga
Sep 29, 2023	SC Paderborn 07 3-1 FC Schalke 04	2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: SC Paderborn 07 vs FC Schalke 04 on Apr 26, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

SC Paderborn 07 score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; FC Schalke 04 score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
SC Paderborn 07	1.9	1.5	4	11/15	9/15
FC Schalke 04	2.1	1.3	5	7/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SC Paderborn 07 vs FC Schalke 04?: The Footlab model makes SC Paderborn 07 the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for FC Schalke 04.
Where and when is SC Paderborn 07 vs FC Schalke 04 played?: SC Paderborn 07 vs FC Schalke 04 is played on November 28, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Home Deluxe Arena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.