Match

FC Augsburg vs 1. FC Köln: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)WWK Arena, Augsburg

FC Augsburg1. FC Köln

The Footlab AI model makes FC Augsburg the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for 1. FC Köln. The most likely score is 1-1. If FC Augsburg wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,239 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Augsburg vs 1. FC Köln?

On Elo ratings, FC Augsburg has 2,087 points and 1. FC Köln 2,052.

51%22%27%
FC Augsburg winDraw1. FC Köln win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for FC Augsburg vs 1. FC Köln

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

FC Augsburg

3-4-2-1
  1. 9Rodrigo Ribeiro
  1. 4H. Massengo
  2. 16Hennes Behrens
  3. 32F. Rieder
  4. 21A. Ibrahimović
  5. 19R. Fellhauer
  6. 30A. Kade
  1. 5C. Matsima
  2. 14Y. Keitel
  3. 6J. Gouweleeuw
  1. 1F. Dahmen

1. FC Köln

3-5-2
  1. 30M. Bülter
  2. 10S. El Mala
  1. 37L. Maina
  2. 3B. Sosa
  3. 28S. Sebulonsen
  4. 23Paul Okon-Engstler
  5. 47M. Moore
  1. 22Jahmai Simpson-Pusey
  2. 5T. Krauß
  3. 2J. Schmied
  1. 1M. Schwäbe

Computed on November 10, 2026 at 10:10 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Augsburg have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; 1. FC Köln have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Augsburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026RB Leipzig(away)2-5Bundesliga
Oct 31, 2026SC Freiburg(home)1-2Bundesliga
Oct 27, 2026SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away)4-2DFB Pokal
Oct 24, 2026Union Berlin(home)1-1Bundesliga
Oct 17, 2026SV Elversberg(away)3-4Bundesliga
1. FC Köln
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(home)1-2Bundesliga
Nov 1, 2026Union Berlin(away)1-1Bundesliga
Oct 27, 2026Union Berlin(home)5-0DFB Pokal
Oct 24, 2026FC Schalke 04(home)0-0Bundesliga
Oct 16, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt(away)0-1Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FC Augsburg win, 3 draws, 2 1. FC Köln wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 27, 2026FC Augsburg 2-0 1. FC KölnBundesliga
Oct 18, 20251. FC Köln 1-1 FC AugsburgBundesliga
Mar 31, 2024FC Augsburg 1-1 1. FC KölnBundesliga
Nov 4, 20231. FC Köln 1-1 FC AugsburgBundesliga
Apr 8, 2023FC Augsburg 1-3 1. FC KölnBundesliga
Oct 16, 20221. FC Köln 3-2 FC AugsburgBundesliga

Last archived meeting: FC Augsburg vs 1. FC Köln on Feb 27, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Augsburg score 3.1 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; 1. FC Köln score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Augsburg3.12.0311/1513/15
1. FC Köln2.11.3311/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Augsburg sit 14th in Bundesliga (9 points from 9 matches) and 1. FC Köln sit 15th (9 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14FC Augsburg923420209
151. FC Köln923410149

A question about FC Augsburg vs 1. FC Köln?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Augsburg vs 1. FC Köln?
The Footlab AI model makes FC Augsburg the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for 1. FC Köln.
Where and when is FC Augsburg vs 1. FC Köln played?
FC Augsburg vs 1. FC Köln is played on December 5, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at WWK Arena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: FC Augsburg and 1. FC Köln

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