Where and when is FC Augsburg vs 1. FC Köln played?

FC Augsburg vs 1. FC Köln is played on December 5, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at WWK Arena, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

FC Augsburg vs 1. FC Köln: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)WWK Arena, Augsburg

FC Augsburg

1. FC Köln

The Footlab model makes 1. FC Köln the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for FC Augsburg. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Augsburg vs 1. FC Köln?

A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate FC Augsburg (2,070) and 1. FC Köln (2,048).

FC Augsburg win38 %

Draw23 %

1. FC Köln win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Augsburg have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; 1. FC Köln have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Augsburg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Energie Cottbus(away)	2-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Leeds(away)	0-4	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Sassuolo(home)	3-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 5, 2026	Schwaz(away)	15-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 30, 2026	Bournemouth(home)	2-5	Friendlies Clubs

1. FC Köln
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Würzburger Kickers(away)	2-1	DFB Pokal
Aug 8, 2026	Real Sociedad(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 31, 2026	Hertha BSC(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 23, 2026	Bergisch Gladbach(away)	8-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026	Bayern München(away)	1-5	Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FC Augsburg win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 1. FC Köln win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 27, 2026	FC Augsburg 2-0 1. FC Köln	Bundesliga
Oct 18, 2025	1. FC Köln 1-1 FC Augsburg	Bundesliga
Mar 31, 2024	FC Augsburg 1-1 1. FC Köln	Bundesliga
Nov 4, 2023	1. FC Köln 1-1 FC Augsburg	Bundesliga
Apr 8, 2023	FC Augsburg 1-3 1. FC Köln	Bundesliga
Oct 16, 2022	1. FC Köln 3-2 FC Augsburg	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: FC Augsburg vs 1. FC Köln on Feb 27, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Augsburg score 2.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; 1. FC Köln score 2.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
FC Augsburg	2.5	2.0	2	10/15	10/15
1. FC Köln	2.0	1.9	1	13/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Augsburg sit 9th in Bundesliga (43 points from 34 matches) and 1. FC Köln sit 14th (32 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	FC Augsburg	34	12	7	15	45	61	43
14	1. FC Köln	34	7	11	16	49	63	32

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Augsburg vs 1. FC Köln?: The Footlab model makes 1. FC Köln the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for FC Augsburg.
Where and when is FC Augsburg vs 1. FC Köln played?: FC Augsburg vs 1. FC Köln is played on December 5, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at WWK Arena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.