1899 Hoffenheim vs FC Augsburg: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)PreZero Arena, Sinsheim
The Footlab model makes 1899 Hoffenheim the favourite at 54%, against 21% for a draw and 25% for FC Augsburg. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win 1899 Hoffenheim vs FC Augsburg?
A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate 1899 Hoffenheim (2,161) and FC Augsburg (2,070).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1899 Hoffenheim have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; FC Augsburg have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Erzgebirge Aue(away) | 4-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tottenham(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Karlsruher SC(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Holstein Kiel(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | SGV Freiberg(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Energie Cottbus(away) | 2-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leeds(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sassuolo(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Schwaz(away) | 15-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Bournemouth(home) | 2-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 1899 Hoffenheim win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 FC Augsburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | FC Augsburg 2-2 1899 Hoffenheim | Bundesliga |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1899 Hoffenheim 3-0 FC Augsburg | Bundesliga |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1899 Hoffenheim 1-1 FC Augsburg | Bundesliga |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 1899 Hoffenheim 3-1 FC Augsburg | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 10, 2024 | FC Augsburg 0-0 1899 Hoffenheim | Bundesliga |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 1899 Hoffenheim 3-1 FC Augsburg | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: FC Augsburg vs 1899 Hoffenheim on Apr 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
1899 Hoffenheim score 1.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; FC Augsburg score 2.5 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1899 Hoffenheim | 1.9 | 1.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 13/15 |
| FC Augsburg | 2.5 | 2.0 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
1899 Hoffenheim sit 5th in Bundesliga (61 points from 34 matches) and FC Augsburg sit 9th (43 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65 | 52 | 61 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 61 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for 1899 Hoffenheim vs FC Augsburg?
- The Footlab model makes 1899 Hoffenheim the favourite at 54%, against 21% for a draw and 25% for FC Augsburg.
- Where and when is 1899 Hoffenheim vs FC Augsburg played?
- 1899 Hoffenheim vs FC Augsburg is played on November 28, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at PreZero Arena, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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