Where and when is SV Elversberg vs VfB Stuttgart played?

SV Elversberg vs VfB Stuttgart is played on December 5, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

SV Elversberg vs VfB Stuttgart: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg

SV Elversberg

VfB Stuttgart

The Footlab model makes VfB Stuttgart the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for SV Elversberg. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SV Elversberg vs VfB Stuttgart?

VfB Stuttgart starts as the favourite with a 154-point Elo edge (2,252 vs 2,098).

SV Elversberg win29 %

Draw24 %

VfB Stuttgart win47 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SV Elversberg have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; VfB Stuttgart have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SV Elversberg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	MSV Duisburg(away)	3-1	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Lorient(home)	4-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Mallorca(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 4, 2026	Strasbourg(away)	5-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	NEC Nijmegen(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs

VfB Stuttgart
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Hansa Rostock(away)	4-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Fulham(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Everton(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Paris FC(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026	Kickers Offenbach(away)	8-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 SV Elversberg win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 VfB Stuttgart win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Oct 9, 2025	VfB Stuttgart 2-0 SV Elversberg	Friendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: VfB Stuttgart vs SV Elversberg on Oct 9, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

SV Elversberg score 2.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; VfB Stuttgart score 3.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
SV Elversberg	2.5	1.2	4	11/15	11/15
VfB Stuttgart	3.1	1.3	4	9/15	13/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	18	8	8	71	49	62

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SV Elversberg vs VfB Stuttgart?: The Footlab model makes VfB Stuttgart the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for SV Elversberg.
Where and when is SV Elversberg vs VfB Stuttgart played?: SV Elversberg vs VfB Stuttgart is played on December 5, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.