Match

Werder Bremen vs 1. FC Köln: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Weserstadion, Bremen

Werder Bremen1. FC Köln

The Footlab model makes Werder Bremen the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 38% for 1. FC Köln. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Werder Bremen vs 1. FC Köln?

A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Werder Bremen (2,039) and 1. FC Köln (2,048).

Werder Bremen win38 %
Draw25 %
1. FC Köln win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Werder Bremen have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; 1. FC Köln have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Werder Bremen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Lüneburger SK Hansa(away)3-0DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Auxerre(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026SC Paderborn 07(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Energie Cottbus(away)4-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026VfL Bochum(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
1. FC Köln
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026Würzburger Kickers(away)2-1DFB Pokal
Aug 8, 2026Real Sociedad(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 31, 2026Hertha BSC(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 23, 2026Bergisch Gladbach(away)8-0Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026Bayern München(away)1-5Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Werder Bremen win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 1. FC Köln win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 12, 20261. FC Köln 3-1 Werder BremenBundesliga
Nov 29, 2025Werder Bremen 1-1 1. FC KölnBundesliga
Feb 16, 20241. FC Köln 0-1 Werder BremenBundesliga
Sep 23, 2023Werder Bremen 2-1 1. FC KölnBundesliga
May 20, 2023Werder Bremen 1-1 1. FC KölnBundesliga
Jan 21, 20231. FC Köln 7-1 Werder BremenBundesliga

Last archived meeting: 1. FC Köln vs Werder Bremen on Apr 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Werder Bremen score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; 1. FC Köln score 2.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Werder Bremen1.81.348/158/15
1. FC Köln2.01.9113/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Werder Bremen sit 15th in Bundesliga (32 points from 34 matches) and 1. FC Köln sit 14th (32 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
141. FC Köln3471116496332
15Werder Bremen348818376032

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Werder Bremen vs 1. FC Köln?
The Footlab model makes Werder Bremen the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 38% for 1. FC Köln.
Where and when is Werder Bremen vs 1. FC Köln played?
Werder Bremen vs 1. FC Köln is played on February 6, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Weserstadion, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Werder Bremen and 1. FC Köln

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