Werder Bremen vs 1. FC Köln: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Weserstadion, Bremen
The Footlab model makes Werder Bremen the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 38% for 1. FC Köln. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Werder Bremen vs 1. FC Köln?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Werder Bremen (2,039) and 1. FC Köln (2,048).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Werder Bremen have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; 1. FC Köln have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lüneburger SK Hansa(away) | 3-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Auxerre(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SC Paderborn 07(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Energie Cottbus(away) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | VfL Bochum(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Würzburger Kickers(away) | 2-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Sociedad(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Hertha BSC(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Bergisch Gladbach(away) | 8-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Bayern München(away) | 1-5 | Bundesliga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Werder Bremen win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 1. FC Köln win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | 1. FC Köln 3-1 Werder Bremen | Bundesliga |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Werder Bremen 1-1 1. FC Köln | Bundesliga |
| Feb 16, 2024 | 1. FC Köln 0-1 Werder Bremen | Bundesliga |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Werder Bremen 2-1 1. FC Köln | Bundesliga |
| May 20, 2023 | Werder Bremen 1-1 1. FC Köln | Bundesliga |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1. FC Köln 7-1 Werder Bremen | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: 1. FC Köln vs Werder Bremen on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Werder Bremen score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; 1. FC Köln score 2.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Werder Bremen | 1.8 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| 1. FC Köln | 2.0 | 1.9 | 1 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Werder Bremen sit 15th in Bundesliga (32 points from 34 matches) and 1. FC Köln sit 14th (32 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 1. FC Köln | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49 | 63 | 32 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 60 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Werder Bremen vs 1. FC Köln?
- The Footlab model makes Werder Bremen the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 38% for 1. FC Köln.
- Where and when is Werder Bremen vs 1. FC Köln played?
- Werder Bremen vs 1. FC Köln is played on February 6, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Weserstadion, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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