1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)PreZero Arena, Sinsheim
The Footlab model makes 1899 Hoffenheim the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Borussia Mönchengladbach. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win 1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate 1899 Hoffenheim (2,161) and Borussia Mönchengladbach (2,107).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1899 Hoffenheim have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Borussia Mönchengladbach have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Erzgebirge Aue(away) | 4-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tottenham(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Karlsruher SC(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Holstein Kiel(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | SGV Freiberg(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Schott Mainz(away) | 5-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Aston Villa(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | SSVg Velbert(away) | 8-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hansa Rostock(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Essen(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 1899 Hoffenheim win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Borussia Mönchengladbach win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 4-0 1899 Hoffenheim | Bundesliga |
| Jan 14, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim 5-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga |
| May 3, 2025 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 4-4 1899 Hoffenheim | Bundesliga |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1899 Hoffenheim 1-2 Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga |
| Apr 20, 2024 | 1899 Hoffenheim 4-3 Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga |
| Dec 2, 2023 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 2-1 1899 Hoffenheim | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Borussia Mönchengladbach vs 1899 Hoffenheim on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
1899 Hoffenheim score 1.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Borussia Mönchengladbach score 2.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1899 Hoffenheim | 1.9 | 1.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 13/15 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | 2.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
1899 Hoffenheim sit 5th in Bundesliga (61 points from 34 matches) and Borussia Mönchengladbach sit 12th (38 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65 | 52 | 61 |
| 12 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 53 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for 1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
- The Footlab model makes 1899 Hoffenheim the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Borussia Mönchengladbach.
- Where and when is 1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Mönchengladbach played?
- 1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Mönchengladbach is played on February 27, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at PreZero Arena, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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