Match

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs 1899 Hoffenheim: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)BORUSSIA-PARK, Mönchengladbach

Borussia Mönchengladbach1899 Hoffenheim

The Footlab model makes Borussia Mönchengladbach the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for 1899 Hoffenheim. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Borussia Mönchengladbach vs 1899 Hoffenheim?

A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Borussia Mönchengladbach (2,091) and 1899 Hoffenheim (2,156).

Borussia Mönchengladbach win47 %
Draw24 %
1899 Hoffenheim win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Borussia Mönchengladbach have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; 1899 Hoffenheim have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Borussia Mönchengladbach
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Schott Mainz(away)5-0DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Aston Villa(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 12, 2026SSVg Velbert(away)8-0Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Hansa Rostock(away)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Rot-Weiß Essen(away)2-1Friendlies Clubs
1899 Hoffenheim
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Erzgebirge Aue(away)4-0DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026Tottenham(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Karlsruher SC(home)3-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026Holstein Kiel(home)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026SGV Freiberg(away)3-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Borussia Mönchengladbach win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 1899 Hoffenheim win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 16, 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach 4-0 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga
Jan 14, 20261899 Hoffenheim 5-1 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga
May 3, 2025Borussia Mönchengladbach 4-4 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga
Dec 21, 20241899 Hoffenheim 1-2 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga
Apr 20, 20241899 Hoffenheim 4-3 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga
Dec 2, 2023Borussia Mönchengladbach 2-1 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga

Last archived meeting: Borussia Mönchengladbach vs 1899 Hoffenheim on May 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Borussia Mönchengladbach score 2.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; 1899 Hoffenheim score 1.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Borussia Mönchengladbach2.90.968/1511/15
1899 Hoffenheim1.91.948/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Borussia Mönchengladbach sit 12th in Bundesliga (38 points from 34 matches) and 1899 Hoffenheim sit 5th (61 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
51899 Hoffenheim341879655261
12Borussia Mönchengladbach3491114425338

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs 1899 Hoffenheim?
The Footlab model makes Borussia Mönchengladbach the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for 1899 Hoffenheim.
Where and when is Borussia Mönchengladbach vs 1899 Hoffenheim played?
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs 1899 Hoffenheim is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at BORUSSIA-PARK, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Borussia Mönchengladbach and 1899 Hoffenheim

Ready to know everything about football?