Match

SC Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg im Breisgau

SC FreiburgBayer Leverkusen

The Footlab AI model makes SC Freiburg the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Bayer Leverkusen. The most likely score is 1-1. If SC Freiburg wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,131 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SC Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen?

A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate SC Freiburg (2,221) and Bayer Leverkusen (2,258).

44%24%32%
SC Freiburg winDrawBayer Leverkusen win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for SC Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

SC Freiburg

4-2-3-1
  1. 31I. Matanović
  1. 8M. Eggestein
  2. 16Y. Engelhardt
  3. 14Y. Suzuki
  4. 19J. Beste
  5. 7D. Scherhant
  1. 28M. Ginter
  2. 33J. Makengo
  3. 3P. Lienhart
  4. 29P. Treu
  1. 1M. Backhaus

Bayer Leverkusen

4-2-3-1
  1. 14P. Schick
  1. 24Aleix García
  2. 30I. Maza
  3. 6E. Fernández
  4. 9Afonso Moreira
  5. 10M. Tillman
  1. 2F. Medina
  2. 12E. Tapsoba
  3. 3Miguel Gutiérrez
  4. 4J. Quansah
  1. 1M. Flekken

Computed on November 9, 2026 at 03:14 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SC Freiburg have 11 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats; Bayer Leverkusen have 10, 1 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SC Freiburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Union Berlin(home)2-0Bundesliga
Nov 5, 2026Trabzonspor(away)1-0UEFA Europa Conference League
Oct 31, 2026FC Augsburg(away)2-1Bundesliga
Oct 28, 2026VfL Wolfsburg(home)3-2DFB Pokal
Oct 25, 2026Bayern München(home)1-3Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 20261. FC Köln(away)2-1Bundesliga
Nov 5, 2026Marseille(home)0-1UEFA Europa League
Oct 31, 2026VfB Stuttgart(home)2-4Bundesliga
Oct 28, 20261. FC Nürnberg(home)5-2DFB Pokal
Oct 25, 20261899 Hoffenheim(away)0-3Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 SC Freiburg wins, 2 draws, 4 Bayer Leverkusen wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 SC FreiburgBundesliga
Mar 7, 2026SC Freiburg 3-3 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
Oct 26, 2025Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 SC FreiburgBundesliga
May 4, 2025SC Freiburg 2-2 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
Dec 21, 2024Bayer Leverkusen 5-1 SC FreiburgBundesliga
Mar 17, 2024SC Freiburg 2-3 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga

Last archived meeting: Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg on Oct 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

SC Freiburg score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bayer Leverkusen score 2.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
SC Freiburg2.31.3410/1512/15
Bayer Leverkusen2.51.367/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SC Freiburg sit 3rd in Bundesliga (19 points from 9 matches) and Bayer Leverkusen sit 5th (16 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3SC Freiburg9612201019
5Bayer Leverkusen9513201716

A question about SC Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SC Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen?
The Footlab AI model makes SC Freiburg the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Bayer Leverkusen.
Where and when is SC Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen played?
SC Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen is played on February 27, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Europa-Park Stadion, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: SC Freiburg and Bayer Leverkusen

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