Match

Borussia Dortmund vs Union Berlin: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)SIGNAL IDUNA PARK, Dortmund

Borussia DortmundUnion Berlin

The Footlab AI model makes Borussia Dortmund the favourite at 73%, against 16% for a draw and 11% for Union Berlin. The most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,831 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs Union Berlin?

Borussia Dortmund is a heavy favourite: 2,327 Elo points against 2,025, a 302-point gap.

73%16%11%
Borussia Dortmund winDrawUnion Berlin win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Borussia Dortmund vs Union Berlin

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Borussia Dortmund

3-4-2-1
  1. 9S. Guirassy
  1. 8F. Nmecha
  2. 26J. Ryerson
  3. 24D. Svensson
  4. 25J. Veerman
  5. 14M. Beier
  6. 7J. Bellingham
  1. 3W. Anton
  2. 4N. Schlotterbeck
  3. 22Kouakou Joane Gadou
  1. 1G. Kobel

Union Berlin

4-2-3-1
  1. 21T. Skarke
  1. 8R. Khedira
  2. 20M. Aebischer
  3. 11Jeong Woo-Yeong
  4. 13A. Schäfer
  5. 9Livan Burcu
  1. 15T. Rothe
  2. 19J. Haberer
  3. 4Z. Van Den Bosch
  4. 2F. Uduokhai
  1. 1F. Rønnow

Computed on October 29, 2026 at 12:01 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Borussia Dortmund have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Union Berlin have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Borussia Dortmund
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 27, 2026Werder Bremen(home)3-2DFB Pokal
Oct 24, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt(home)1-0Bundesliga
Oct 20, 2026Sabah FA(away)2-1UEFA Champions League
Oct 17, 2026Union Berlin(away)0-0Bundesliga
Oct 14, 2026Bodo/Glimt(away)0-1UEFA Champions League
Union Berlin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 27, 20261. FC Köln(away)0-5DFB Pokal
Oct 24, 2026FC Augsburg(away)1-1Bundesliga
Oct 17, 2026Borussia Dortmund(home)0-0Bundesliga
Oct 10, 2026SV Elversberg(home)1-0Bundesliga
Sep 18, 2026Bayern München(away)0-7Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Borussia Dortmund wins, 1 draw, 1 Union Berlin win.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Union Berlin 0-0 Borussia DortmundBundesliga
Jan 24, 2026Union Berlin 0-3 Borussia DortmundBundesliga
Aug 31, 2025Borussia Dortmund 3-0 Union BerlinBundesliga
Feb 22, 2025Borussia Dortmund 6-0 Union BerlinBundesliga
Oct 5, 2024Union Berlin 2-1 Borussia DortmundBundesliga
Mar 2, 2024Union Berlin 0-2 Borussia DortmundBundesliga

Last archived meeting: Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund on Oct 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Borussia Dortmund score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Union Berlin score 1.3 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Borussia Dortmund2.11.168/1510/15
Union Berlin1.32.5210/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Borussia Dortmund sit 2nd in Bundesliga (17 points from 7 matches) and Union Berlin sit 17th (6 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Borussia Dortmund752012417
17Union Berlin71336186

A question about Borussia Dortmund vs Union Berlin?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Borussia Dortmund vs Union Berlin?
The Footlab AI model makes Borussia Dortmund the favourite at 73%, against 16% for a draw and 11% for Union Berlin.
Where and when is Borussia Dortmund vs Union Berlin played?
Borussia Dortmund vs Union Berlin is played on February 27, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at SIGNAL IDUNA PARK, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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