Match

SC Paderborn 07 vs Werder Bremen: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn

SC Paderborn 07Werder Bremen

The Footlab model makes SC Paderborn 07 the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Werder Bremen. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SC Paderborn 07 vs Werder Bremen?

A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate SC Paderborn 07 (2,092) and Werder Bremen (2,041).

SC Paderborn 07 win48 %
Draw24 %
Werder Bremen win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SC Paderborn 07 have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Werder Bremen have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SC Paderborn 07
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Phönix Lübeck(away)4-2DFB Pokal
Aug 8, 2026Werder Bremen(away)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026VfL Osnabrück(away)2-0Friendlies Clubs
May 25, 2026VfL Wolfsburg(home)2-1Bundesliga
May 21, 2026VfL Wolfsburg(away)0-0Bundesliga
Werder Bremen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Lüneburger SK Hansa(away)3-0DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Auxerre(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026SC Paderborn 07(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Energie Cottbus(away)4-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026VfL Bochum(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 SC Paderborn 07 win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Werder Bremen win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 8, 2026Werder Bremen 2-2 SC Paderborn 07Friendlies Clubs
Oct 30, 2024SC Paderborn 07 0-1 Werder BremenDFB Pokal
Oct 19, 2022SC Paderborn 07 2-2 Werder BremenDFB Pokal
Jan 22, 2022SC Paderborn 07 3-4 Werder Bremen2. Bundesliga
Aug 15, 2021Werder Bremen 1-4 SC Paderborn 072. Bundesliga
Jun 13, 2020SC Paderborn 07 1-5 Werder BremenBundesliga

Last archived meeting: Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 on Aug 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

SC Paderborn 07 score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Werder Bremen score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
SC Paderborn 071.91.5411/159/15
Werder Bremen1.81.348/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
15Werder Bremen348818376032

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SC Paderborn 07 vs Werder Bremen?
The Footlab model makes SC Paderborn 07 the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Werder Bremen.
Where and when is SC Paderborn 07 vs Werder Bremen played?
SC Paderborn 07 vs Werder Bremen is played on February 27, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Home Deluxe Arena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: SC Paderborn 07 and Werder Bremen

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