Match

Bayer Leverkusen vs 1899 Hoffenheim: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 3, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC)BayArena, Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen1899 Hoffenheim

The Footlab AI model makes Bayer Leverkusen the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for 1899 Hoffenheim. The most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,778 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs 1899 Hoffenheim?

Bayer Leverkusen starts as the favourite with a 145-point Elo edge (2,309 vs 2,164).

63%20%17%
Bayer Leverkusen winDraw1899 Hoffenheim win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Bayer Leverkusen vs 1899 Hoffenheim

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Bayer Leverkusen

4-2-3-1
  1. 14P. Schick
  1. 24Aleix García
  2. 6E. Fernández
  3. 30I. Maza
  4. 19M. Diaby
  5. 9Afonso Moreira
  1. 2F. Medina
  2. 12E. Tapsoba
  3. 3Miguel Gutiérrez
  4. 4J. Quansah
  1. 1M. Flekken

1899 Hoffenheim

4-2-3-1
  1. 11F. Asllani
  1. 7L. Avdullahu
  2. 10A. Hložek
  3. 14A. Daghim
  4. 22A. Prass
  5. 18W. Burger
  1. 34V. Coufal
  2. 39M. Rots
  3. 28K. Machida
  4. 5O. Kabak
  1. 1O. Baumann

Computed on October 28, 2026 at 10:12 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bayer Leverkusen have 11 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats; 1899 Hoffenheim have 8, 0 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bayer Leverkusen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 28, 20261. FC Nürnberg(home)5-2DFB Pokal
Oct 25, 20261899 Hoffenheim(away)0-3Bundesliga
Oct 22, 2026OFI(away)2-0UEFA Europa League
Oct 18, 2026SC Freiburg(home)2-1Bundesliga
Oct 15, 2026Lech Poznan(away)4-0UEFA Europa League
1899 Hoffenheim
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 25, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(home)3-0Bundesliga
Oct 22, 2026Lyon(home)3-0UEFA Europa League
Oct 18, 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach(away)2-1Bundesliga
Oct 15, 2026Beşiktaş(home)2-3UEFA Europa League
Oct 10, 2026Hamburger SV(home)2-3Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Bayer Leverkusen wins, 0 draws, 3 1899 Hoffenheim wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 25, 20261899 Hoffenheim 3-0 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
Jan 17, 20261899 Hoffenheim 1-0 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
Aug 23, 2025Bayer Leverkusen 1-2 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga
Feb 2, 2025Bayer Leverkusen 3-1 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga
Sep 14, 20241899 Hoffenheim 1-4 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
Mar 30, 2024Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga

Last archived meeting: 1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen on Oct 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Bayer Leverkusen score 2.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; 1899 Hoffenheim score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bayer Leverkusen2.51.268/1512/15
1899 Hoffenheim2.11.558/1514/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bayer Leverkusen sit 4th in Bundesliga (13 points from 7 matches) and 1899 Hoffenheim sit 10th (9 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Bayer Leverkusen7412161213
101899 Hoffenheim730414149

A question about Bayer Leverkusen vs 1899 Hoffenheim?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bayer Leverkusen vs 1899 Hoffenheim?
The Footlab AI model makes Bayer Leverkusen the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for 1899 Hoffenheim.
Where and when is Bayer Leverkusen vs 1899 Hoffenheim played?
Bayer Leverkusen vs 1899 Hoffenheim is played on March 3, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at BayArena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Bayer Leverkusen and 1899 Hoffenheim

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