Where and when is Bayer Leverkusen vs 1899 Hoffenheim played?

Bayer Leverkusen vs 1899 Hoffenheim is played on March 3, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at BayArena, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Bayer Leverkusen vs 1899 Hoffenheim: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 3, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC)BayArena, Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen

1899 Hoffenheim

The Footlab model makes Bayer Leverkusen the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for 1899 Hoffenheim. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs 1899 Hoffenheim?

Bayer Leverkusen starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (2,286 vs 2,163).

Bayer Leverkusen win58 %

Draw21 %

1899 Hoffenheim win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bayer Leverkusen have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; 1899 Hoffenheim have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bayer Leverkusen
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	SV Wehen(away)	4-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Newcastle(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 12, 2026	Nottingham Forest(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Sevilla(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Rot-Weiß Essen(home)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs

1899 Hoffenheim
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Erzgebirge Aue(away)	4-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026	Tottenham(away)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Karlsruher SC(home)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026	Holstein Kiel(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	SGV Freiberg(away)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Bayer Leverkusen win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 1899 Hoffenheim win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 17, 2026	1899 Hoffenheim 1-0 Bayer Leverkusen	Bundesliga
Aug 23, 2025	Bayer Leverkusen 1-2 1899 Hoffenheim	Bundesliga
Feb 2, 2025	Bayer Leverkusen 3-1 1899 Hoffenheim	Bundesliga
Sep 14, 2024	1899 Hoffenheim 1-4 Bayer Leverkusen	Bundesliga
Mar 30, 2024	Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 1899 Hoffenheim	Bundesliga
Nov 4, 2023	1899 Hoffenheim 2-3 Bayer Leverkusen	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: 1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen on Jan 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Bayer Leverkusen score 2.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; 1899 Hoffenheim score 1.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Bayer Leverkusen	2.4	1.0	5	9/15	12/15
1899 Hoffenheim	1.9	1.9	4	8/15	13/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bayer Leverkusen sit 6th in Bundesliga (59 points from 34 matches) and 1899 Hoffenheim sit 5th (61 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	1899 Hoffenheim	34	18	7	9	65	52	61
6	Bayer Leverkusen	34	17	8	9	68	47	59

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bayer Leverkusen vs 1899 Hoffenheim?: The Footlab model makes Bayer Leverkusen the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for 1899 Hoffenheim.
Where and when is Bayer Leverkusen vs 1899 Hoffenheim played?: Bayer Leverkusen vs 1899 Hoffenheim is played on March 3, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at BayArena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.