Where and when is RB Leipzig vs Bayern München played?

RB Leipzig vs Bayern München is played on February 27, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Red Bull Arena, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

RB Leipzig vs Bayern München: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Red Bull Arena, Leipzig

RB Leipzig

Bayern München

The Footlab model makes Bayern München the favourite at 57%, against 19% for a draw and 24% for RB Leipzig. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win RB Leipzig vs Bayern München?

Bayern München is a heavy favourite: 2,527 Elo points against 2,211 — a 315-point gap.

RB Leipzig win24 %

Draw19 %

Bayern München win57 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, RB Leipzig have 10 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats; Bayern München have 11, 2 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

RB Leipzig
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Eintracht Trier(away)	6-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Bayern München(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Leeds(away)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Verl(home)	4-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	FC Ingolstadt 04(home)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs

Bayern München
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Borussia Dortmund(away)	2-1	Super Cup
Aug 18, 2026	1. FC Heidenheim(away)	4-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026	RB Leipzig(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 7, 2026	Aston Villa(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 4, 2026	Jeju United FC(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 RB Leipzig win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Bayern München win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Bayern München 3-1 RB Leipzig	Friendlies Clubs
Feb 11, 2026	Bayern München 2-0 RB Leipzig	DFB Pokal
Jan 17, 2026	RB Leipzig 1-5 Bayern München	Bundesliga
Aug 22, 2025	Bayern München 6-0 RB Leipzig	Bundesliga
May 3, 2025	RB Leipzig 3-3 Bayern München	Bundesliga
Dec 20, 2024	Bayern München 5-1 RB Leipzig	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Bayern München vs RB Leipzig on Aug 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

RB Leipzig score 2.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Bayern München score 2.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
RB Leipzig	2.2	1.4	5	9/15	12/15
Bayern München	2.7	1.5	3	12/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

RB Leipzig sit 3rd in Bundesliga (65 points from 34 matches) and Bayern München sit 1st (89 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bayern München	34	28	5	1	122	36	89
3	RB Leipzig	34	20	5	9	66	47	65

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for RB Leipzig vs Bayern München?: The Footlab model makes Bayern München the favourite at 57%, against 19% for a draw and 24% for RB Leipzig.
Where and when is RB Leipzig vs Bayern München played?: RB Leipzig vs Bayern München is played on February 27, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Red Bull Arena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.