Borussia Mönchengladbach vs VfB Stuttgart: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 3, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC)BORUSSIA-PARK, Mönchengladbach
The Footlab model makes VfB Stuttgart the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Borussia Mönchengladbach. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Borussia Mönchengladbach vs VfB Stuttgart?
VfB Stuttgart starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (2,250 vs 2,107).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Borussia Mönchengladbach have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; VfB Stuttgart have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Schott Mainz(away) | 5-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Aston Villa(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | SSVg Velbert(away) | 8-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hansa Rostock(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Essen(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Hansa Rostock(away) | 4-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fulham(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Everton(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Paris FC(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Kickers Offenbach(away) | 8-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Borussia Mönchengladbach win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 VfB Stuttgart win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-3 VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga |
| Aug 30, 2025 | VfB Stuttgart 1-0 Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga |
| Feb 1, 2025 | VfB Stuttgart 1-2 Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-3 VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga |
| May 18, 2024 | VfB Stuttgart 4-0 Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga |
| Jan 14, 2024 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 3-1 VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Borussia Mönchengladbach vs VfB Stuttgart on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Borussia Mönchengladbach score 2.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; VfB Stuttgart score 3.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | 2.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| VfB Stuttgart | 3.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Borussia Mönchengladbach sit 12th in Bundesliga (38 points from 34 matches) and VfB Stuttgart sit 4th (62 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71 | 49 | 62 |
| 12 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 53 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs VfB Stuttgart?
- The Footlab model makes VfB Stuttgart the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Borussia Mönchengladbach.
- Where and when is Borussia Mönchengladbach vs VfB Stuttgart played?
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs VfB Stuttgart is played on March 3, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at BORUSSIA-PARK, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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