Match

SC Freiburg vs 1899 Hoffenheim: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg im Breisgau

SC Freiburg1899 Hoffenheim

The Footlab AI model makes SC Freiburg the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for 1899 Hoffenheim. The most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SC Freiburg vs 1899 Hoffenheim?

SC Freiburg starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (2,264 vs 2,141).

62%21%17%
SC Freiburg winDraw1899 Hoffenheim win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for SC Freiburg vs 1899 Hoffenheim

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

SC Freiburg

4-2-3-1
  1. 31I. Matanović
  1. 8M. Eggestein
  2. 19J. Beste
  3. 16Y. Engelhardt
  4. 7D. Scherhant
  5. 14Y. Suzuki
  1. 28M. Ginter
  2. 3P. Lienhart
  3. 33J. Makengo
  4. 29P. Treu
  1. 1M. Backhaus

1899 Hoffenheim

4-2-3-1
  1. 19T. Lemperle
  1. 7L. Avdullahu
  2. 20B. Conté
  3. 10A. Hložek
  4. 11F. Asllani
  5. 18W. Burger
  1. 34V. Coufal
  2. 28K. Machida
  3. 39M. Rots
  4. 5O. Kabak
  1. 1O. Baumann

Computed on October 20, 2026 at 05:10 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SC Freiburg have 12 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats; 1899 Hoffenheim have 7, 0 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SC Freiburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(away)1-2Bundesliga
Oct 15, 2026FK Jablonec(home)3-2UEFA Europa Conference League
Oct 11, 2026FC Schalke 04(home)2-1Bundesliga
Oct 3, 2026FC Luzern(home)4-2Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt(away)2-2Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach(away)2-1Bundesliga
Oct 15, 2026Beşiktaş(home)2-3UEFA Europa League
Oct 10, 2026Hamburger SV(home)2-3Bundesliga
Sep 20, 2026SC Paderborn 07(away)1-3Bundesliga
Sep 17, 2026OFI(away)0-2UEFA Europa League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 SC Freiburg wins, 2 draws, 1 1899 Hoffenheim win.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 14, 20261899 Hoffenheim 3-0 SC FreiburgBundesliga
Sep 28, 2025SC Freiburg 1-1 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga
Apr 19, 2025SC Freiburg 3-2 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga
Dec 8, 20241899 Hoffenheim 1-1 SC FreiburgBundesliga
Jan 20, 2024SC Freiburg 3-2 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga
Aug 19, 20231899 Hoffenheim 1-2 SC FreiburgBundesliga

Last archived meeting: 1899 Hoffenheim vs SC Freiburg on Feb 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

SC Freiburg score 2.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; 1899 Hoffenheim score 1.8 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
SC Freiburg2.81.1410/1513/15
1899 Hoffenheim1.81.848/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SC Freiburg sit 3rd in Bundesliga (13 points from 6 matches) and 1899 Hoffenheim sit 14th (6 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3SC Freiburg641115613
141899 Hoffenheim620411146

A question about SC Freiburg vs 1899 Hoffenheim?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SC Freiburg vs 1899 Hoffenheim?
The Footlab AI model makes SC Freiburg the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for 1899 Hoffenheim.
Where and when is SC Freiburg vs 1899 Hoffenheim played?
SC Freiburg vs 1899 Hoffenheim is played on December 5, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Europa-Park Stadion, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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