Match

VfB Stuttgart vs SC Paderborn 07: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)MHPArena, Stuttgart

VfB StuttgartSC Paderborn 07

The Footlab AI model makes VfB Stuttgart the favourite at 67%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for SC Paderborn 07. The most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win VfB Stuttgart vs SC Paderborn 07?

VfB Stuttgart starts as the favourite with a 181-point Elo edge (2,278 vs 2,097).

67%19%14%
VfB Stuttgart winDrawSC Paderborn 07 win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for VfB Stuttgart vs SC Paderborn 07

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

VfB Stuttgart

3-4-2-1
  1. 9E. Demirović
  1. 6A. Stiller
  2. 26D. Undav
  3. 10C. Führich
  4. 4J. Vagnoman
  5. 21G. Prömel
  6. 18J. Leweling
  1. 24J. Chabot
  2. 3R. Hendriks
  3. 7M. Mittelstädt
  1. 1F. Bredlow

SC Paderborn 07

3-5-2
  1. 18M. Pieringer
  2. 30S. Marino
  1. 5S. Castañeda
  2. 40G. Vidović
  3. 23R. Obermair
  4. 17L. Curda
  5. 28L. Ulrich
  1. 21J. ter Horst
  2. 22M. Hansen
  3. 25T. Scheller
  1. 15N. Noll

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 08:02 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfB Stuttgart have 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats; SC Paderborn 07 have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

VfB Stuttgart
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 14, 2026Slovan Bratislava(away)3-0UEFA Champions League
Oct 10, 2026SC Paderborn 07(away)2-0Bundesliga
Oct 1, 2026SpVgg Greuther Fürth(home)5-0Friendlies Clubs
Sep 25, 20261. FC Heidenheim(home)3-0Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026Borussia Dortmund(home)0-1Bundesliga
SC Paderborn 07
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026VfB Stuttgart(home)0-2Bundesliga
Sep 30, 2026DC United(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Sep 20, 20261899 Hoffenheim(home)3-1Bundesliga
Sep 12, 2026Borussia Dortmund(away)0-3Bundesliga
Sep 5, 2026SC Freiburg(home)0-1Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 3 VfB Stuttgart wins, 1 draw, 0 SC Paderborn 07 wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026SC Paderborn 07 0-2 VfB StuttgartBundesliga
Jan 31, 2023SC Paderborn 07 1-2 VfB StuttgartDFB Pokal
May 23, 2015SC Paderborn 07 1-2 VfB StuttgartBundesliga
Dec 20, 2014VfB Stuttgart 0-0 SC Paderborn 07Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart on Oct 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

VfB Stuttgart score 2.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; SC Paderborn 07 score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
VfB Stuttgart2.91.067/1512/15
SC Paderborn 071.41.557/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

VfB Stuttgart sit 11th in Bundesliga (6 points from 5 matches) and SC Paderborn 07 sit 15th (4 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11VfB Stuttgart5203896
15SC Paderborn 075113374

A question about VfB Stuttgart vs SC Paderborn 07?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for VfB Stuttgart vs SC Paderborn 07?
The Footlab AI model makes VfB Stuttgart the favourite at 67%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for SC Paderborn 07.
Where and when is VfB Stuttgart vs SC Paderborn 07 played?
VfB Stuttgart vs SC Paderborn 07 is played on February 20, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at MHPArena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: VfB Stuttgart and SC Paderborn 07

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