Where and when is VfB Stuttgart vs SC Paderborn 07 played?

VfB Stuttgart vs SC Paderborn 07 is played on February 20, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at MHPArena, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

VfB Stuttgart vs SC Paderborn 07: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)MHPArena, Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart

SC Paderborn 07

The Footlab model makes VfB Stuttgart the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for SC Paderborn 07. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win VfB Stuttgart vs SC Paderborn 07?

VfB Stuttgart starts as the favourite with a 160-point Elo edge (2,252 vs 2,092).

VfB Stuttgart win58 %

Draw22 %

SC Paderborn 07 win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfB Stuttgart have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; SC Paderborn 07 have 7, 6 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

VfB Stuttgart
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Hansa Rostock(away)	4-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Fulham(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Everton(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Paris FC(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026	Kickers Offenbach(away)	8-1	Friendlies Clubs

SC Paderborn 07
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Phönix Lübeck(away)	4-2	DFB Pokal
Aug 8, 2026	Werder Bremen(away)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	VfL Osnabrück(away)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 25, 2026	VfL Wolfsburg(home)	2-1	Bundesliga
May 21, 2026	VfL Wolfsburg(away)	0-0	Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 2 VfB Stuttgart win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 SC Paderborn 07 win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 31, 2023	SC Paderborn 07 1-2 VfB Stuttgart	DFB Pokal
May 23, 2015	SC Paderborn 07 1-2 VfB Stuttgart	Bundesliga
Dec 20, 2014	VfB Stuttgart 0-0 SC Paderborn 07	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart on Jan 31, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

VfB Stuttgart score 3.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; SC Paderborn 07 score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
VfB Stuttgart	3.1	1.3	4	9/15	13/15
SC Paderborn 07	1.9	1.5	4	11/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	18	8	8	71	49	62

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for VfB Stuttgart vs SC Paderborn 07?: The Footlab model makes VfB Stuttgart the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for SC Paderborn 07.
Where and when is VfB Stuttgart vs SC Paderborn 07 played?: VfB Stuttgart vs SC Paderborn 07 is played on February 20, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at MHPArena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.