Where and when is Hamburger SV vs 1899 Hoffenheim played?

Hamburger SV vs 1899 Hoffenheim is played on February 20, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Volksparkstadion, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Hamburger SV vs 1899 Hoffenheim: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Volksparkstadion, Hamburg

Hamburger SV

1899 Hoffenheim

The Footlab model makes 1899 Hoffenheim the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Hamburger SV. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hamburger SV vs 1899 Hoffenheim?

1899 Hoffenheim starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (2,163 vs 2,057).

Hamburger SV win34 %

Draw24 %

1899 Hoffenheim win42 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hamburger SV have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; 1899 Hoffenheim have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hamburger SV
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Toulouse(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Lille(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Everton(home)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Rapid Vienna(away)	2-3	Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026	Bayer Leverkusen(away)	1-1	Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Erzgebirge Aue(away)	4-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026	Tottenham(away)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Karlsruher SC(home)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026	Holstein Kiel(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	SGV Freiberg(away)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Hamburger SV win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 1899 Hoffenheim win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Hamburger SV 1-2 1899 Hoffenheim	Bundesliga
Dec 13, 2025	1899 Hoffenheim 4-1 Hamburger SV	Bundesliga
Apr 14, 2018	1899 Hoffenheim 2-0 Hamburger SV	Bundesliga
Nov 26, 2017	Hamburger SV 3-0 1899 Hoffenheim	Bundesliga
Apr 8, 2017	Hamburger SV 2-1 1899 Hoffenheim	Bundesliga
Nov 20, 2016	1899 Hoffenheim 2-2 Hamburger SV	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Hamburger SV vs 1899 Hoffenheim on Apr 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hamburger SV score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; 1899 Hoffenheim score 1.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Hamburger SV	1.4	1.9	0	13/15	11/15
1899 Hoffenheim	1.9	1.9	4	8/15	13/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hamburger SV sit 13th in Bundesliga (38 points from 34 matches) and 1899 Hoffenheim sit 5th (61 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	1899 Hoffenheim	34	18	7	9	65	52	61
13	Hamburger SV	34	9	11	14	40	54	38

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hamburger SV vs 1899 Hoffenheim?: The Footlab model makes 1899 Hoffenheim the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Hamburger SV.
Where and when is Hamburger SV vs 1899 Hoffenheim played?: Hamburger SV vs 1899 Hoffenheim is played on February 20, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Volksparkstadion, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.