Match

Hamburger SV vs 1899 Hoffenheim: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Volksparkstadion, Hamburg

Hamburger SV1899 Hoffenheim

The Footlab AI model makes Hamburger SV the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for 1899 Hoffenheim. The most likely score is 1-1. If Hamburger SV wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,460 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hamburger SV vs 1899 Hoffenheim?

A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Hamburger SV (2,081) and 1899 Hoffenheim (2,105).

40%24%36%
Hamburger SV winDraw1899 Hoffenheim win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Hamburger SV vs 1899 Hoffenheim

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Hamburger SV

3-4-2-1
  1. 15Y. Poulsen
  1. 21N. Remberg
  2. 6A. Sambi Lokonga
  3. 3D. Møller Wolfe
  4. 20Fábio Vieira
  5. 5M. Adeline
  6. 37L. Lemke
  1. 24N. Capaldo
  2. 33S. Bornauw
  3. 17W. Omari
  1. 1Daniel Heuer Fernandes

1899 Hoffenheim

4-2-3-1
  1. 10A. Hložek
  1. 7L. Avdullahu
  2. 18W. Burger
  3. 14A. Daghim
  4. 20B. Conté
  5. 11F. Asllani
  1. 34V. Coufal
  2. 5O. Kabak
  3. 28K. Machida
  4. 13Bernardo
  1. 1O. Baumann

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 04:37 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hamburger SV have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; 1899 Hoffenheim have 6, 1 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hamburger SV
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 20261899 Hoffenheim(away)3-2Bundesliga
Oct 4, 2026FC Copenhagen(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 20261. FC Köln(home)2-1Bundesliga
Sep 13, 2026RB Leipzig(away)0-5Bundesliga
Sep 6, 2026FSV Mainz 05(home)0-5Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 15, 2026Beşiktaş(home)2-3UEFA Europa League
Oct 10, 2026Hamburger SV(home)2-3Bundesliga
Sep 20, 2026SC Paderborn 07(away)1-3Bundesliga
Sep 17, 2026OFI(away)0-2UEFA Europa League
Sep 12, 2026VfB Stuttgart(home)2-1Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Hamburger SV wins, 0 draws, 3 1899 Hoffenheim wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 20261899 Hoffenheim 2-3 Hamburger SVBundesliga
Apr 25, 2026Hamburger SV 1-2 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga
Dec 13, 20251899 Hoffenheim 4-1 Hamburger SVBundesliga
Apr 14, 20181899 Hoffenheim 2-0 Hamburger SVBundesliga
Nov 26, 2017Hamburger SV 3-0 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga
Apr 8, 2017Hamburger SV 2-1 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga

Last archived meeting: 1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV on Oct 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hamburger SV score 1.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; 1899 Hoffenheim score 1.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hamburger SV1.61.9210/1512/15
1899 Hoffenheim1.91.948/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hamburger SV sit 12th in Bundesliga (6 points from 5 matches) and 1899 Hoffenheim sit 17th (3 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Hamburger SV52035156
171899 Hoffenheim51049133

A question about Hamburger SV vs 1899 Hoffenheim?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hamburger SV vs 1899 Hoffenheim?
The Footlab AI model makes Hamburger SV the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for 1899 Hoffenheim.
Where and when is Hamburger SV vs 1899 Hoffenheim played?
Hamburger SV vs 1899 Hoffenheim is played on February 20, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Volksparkstadion, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Hamburger SV and 1899 Hoffenheim

Ready to know everything about football?