Academico Viseu vs Arouca: prediction and stats
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal do Fontelo, Viseu
The Footlab AI model makes Academico Viseu the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Arouca. The most likely score is 1-1. If Academico Viseu wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,461 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Academico Viseu vs Arouca?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Academico Viseu (2,074) and Arouca (2,123).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Academico Viseu vs Arouca
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Academico Viseu
4-2-3-1- 33André Clóvis
- 8C. Kahraman
- 14S. Messeguem
- 31João Guilherme
- 7Luís Silva
- 22Nils Mortimer
- 41A. Correia
- 2N. Michelis
- 3Miguel Brau
- 57G. Costa
- 98Ewerton
Arouca
4-2-3-1- 17Barbero
- 7N. Djouahra
- 19A. Trezza
- 8T. Fukui
- 6E. van Ee
- 21Mateo Flores
- 18O. Lebedenko
- 28Tiago Esgaio
- 3José Fontán
- 15Javi Sánchez
- 12I. de Arruabarrena
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 01:46 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Academico Viseu have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Arouca have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Rio Ave(home) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 28, 2026 | FC Porto(away) | 0-1 | Taça da Liga |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Sporting CP(away) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Fátima(away) | 0-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Estoril(home) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Nacional(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Alverca(away) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 18, 2026 | CF Os Belenenses(away) | 4-3 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Estrela(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sporting CP(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Academico Viseu wins, 1 draw, 3 Arouca wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2025 | Academico Viseu 0-2 Arouca | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Arouca 0-2 Academico Viseu | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 21, 2021 | Academico Viseu 0-4 Arouca | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 27, 2020 | Arouca 1-1 Academico Viseu | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 3, 2019 | Arouca 2-0 Academico Viseu | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 26, 2018 | Academico Viseu 3-2 Arouca | Segunda Liga |
Last archived meeting: Academico Viseu vs Arouca on Jul 19, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Academico Viseu score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Arouca score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Academico Viseu | 1.1 | 1.1 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Arouca | 1.3 | 0.9 | 9 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Academico Viseu sit 6th in Primeira Liga (20 points from 10 matches) and Arouca sit 5th (20 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Arouca | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 20 |
| 6 | Academico Viseu | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 20 |
A question about Academico Viseu vs Arouca?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Academico Viseu vs Arouca?
- The Footlab AI model makes Academico Viseu the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Arouca.
- Where and when is Academico Viseu vs Arouca played?
- Academico Viseu vs Arouca is played on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal do Fontelo, in the Primeira Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.