Estoril vs Santa Clara: prediction and stats
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
The Footlab AI model makes Santa Clara the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Estoril. The most likely score is 1-1. If Santa Clara wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Estoril vs Santa Clara?
Santa Clara starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (2,137 vs 2,010).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Estoril vs Santa Clara
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Estoril
4-2-3-1- 14Y. Begraoui
- 12João Carvalho
- 10J. Holsgrove
- 44M. Robin
- 5A. Tsoungui
- 7André Lacximicant
- 2Ricard Sánchez
- 21R. Jurišić
- 6Xavi Sintes
- 15Isma Sierra
- 1Joel Robles
Santa Clara
4-3-3- 9Gonçalo Paciência
- 70Vinícius Lopes
- 10Brenner Lucas Gonçalves Santos
- 6Pedro Ferreira
- 8José Luís Rocha Tavares
- 20Tiago Ribeiro
- 5Guilherme Romão
- 4Pedro Pacheco
- 21Emanuel Fernandes
- 42Lucas Soares
- 1Lucas França
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 01:07 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estoril have 0 wins, 7 draws and 8 defeats; Santa Clara have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Salgueiros(away) | 1-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Academico Viseu(away) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Casa Pia(home) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 14, 2026 | SC Braga(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Arouca(home) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Mafra(away) | 2-3 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Casa Pia(away) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | SC Braga(home) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Arouca(away) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Rio Ave(home) | 4-0 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Estoril wins, 0 draws, 3 Santa Clara wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Santa Clara 2-4 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Estoril 0-1 Santa Clara | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Santa Clara 2-3 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Estoril 1-4 Santa Clara | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 30, 2023 | Estoril 3-0 Santa Clara | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 14, 2022 | Santa Clara 3-1 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
Last archived meeting: Santa Clara vs Estoril on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Estoril score 0.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Santa Clara score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estoril | 0.6 | 1.4 | 2 | 9/15 | 4/15 |
| Santa Clara | 1.7 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estoril sit 18th in Primeira Liga (2 points from 8 matches) and Santa Clara sit 4th (18 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Santa Clara | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 18 |
| 18 | Estoril | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 2 |
A question about Estoril vs Santa Clara?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Estoril vs Santa Clara?
- The Footlab AI model makes Santa Clara the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Estoril.
- Where and when is Estoril vs Santa Clara played?
- Estoril vs Santa Clara is played on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, in the Primeira Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.