Match

Acassuso vs Atletico Mitre: prediction and stats

Primera NacionalRegular Season - 30Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Quema, San Isidro, Provincia de Buenos Aires

AcassusoAtletico Mitre

The Footlab model makes Acassuso the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Atletico Mitre. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Acassuso vs Atletico Mitre?

A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Acassuso (1,645) and Atletico Mitre (1,710).

Acassuso win42 %
Draw30 %
Atletico Mitre win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Acassuso have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Atletico Mitre have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Acassuso
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Godoy Cruz(home)0-1Primera Nacional
Aug 14, 2026Midland(home)1-1Primera Nacional
Aug 9, 2026Deportivo Moron(away)1-4Primera Nacional
Aug 1, 2026Colon Santa Fe(home)1-1Primera Nacional
Jul 26, 2026San Miguel(away)0-0Primera Nacional
Atletico Mitre
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Deportivo Madryn(away)0-4Primera Nacional
Aug 15, 2026Club Atlético Güemes(home)1-1Primera Nacional
Aug 9, 2026Defensores De Belgrano(home)2-1Primera Nacional
Aug 2, 2026Ciudad de Bolívar(away)2-0Primera Nacional
Jul 26, 2026Almirante Brown(home)0-0Primera Nacional

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Acassuso win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Atletico Mitre win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Atletico Mitre 2-0 AcassusoPrimera Nacional

Last archived meeting: Atletico Mitre vs Acassuso on May 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Acassuso score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico Mitre score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Acassuso0.71.347/154/15
Atletico Mitre1.01.557/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Acassuso sit 18th in Primera Nacional (22 points from 25 matches) and Atletico Mitre sit 12th (29 points from 26 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Atletico Mitre266119253329
18Acassuso255713183022

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Acassuso vs Atletico Mitre?
The Footlab model makes Acassuso the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Atletico Mitre.
Where and when is Acassuso vs Atletico Mitre played?
Acassuso vs Atletico Mitre is played on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Quema, in the Primera Nacional.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Acassuso and Atletico Mitre

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