Match

Almirante Brown vs Acassuso: prediction and stats

Primera NacionalRegular Season - 31Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento, La Matanza, Provincia de Buenos Aires

Almirante BrownAcassuso

The Footlab model makes Almirante Brown the favourite at 62%, against 27% for a draw and 11% for Acassuso. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Almirante Brown vs Acassuso?

Almirante Brown starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,768 vs 1,645).

Almirante Brown win62 %
Draw27 %
Acassuso win11 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Almirante Brown have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Acassuso have 2, 6 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Almirante Brown
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Defensores De Belgrano(away)2-0Primera Nacional
Aug 16, 2026Tristan Suarez(away)1-3Primera Nacional
Aug 8, 2026Ciudad de Bolívar(home)2-0Primera Nacional
Aug 2, 2026Racing Cordoba(home)2-0Primera Nacional
Jul 26, 2026Atletico Mitre(away)0-0Primera Nacional
Acassuso
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Godoy Cruz(home)0-1Primera Nacional
Aug 14, 2026Midland(home)1-1Primera Nacional
Aug 9, 2026Deportivo Moron(away)1-4Primera Nacional
Aug 1, 2026Colon Santa Fe(home)1-1Primera Nacional
Jul 26, 2026San Miguel(away)0-0Primera Nacional

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Almirante Brown win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Acassuso win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Acassuso 0-0 Almirante BrownPrimera Nacional
Dec 27, 2020Almirante Brown 2-1 AcassusoPrimera B Metropolitana
Nov 10, 2019Acassuso 0-1 Almirante BrownPrimera B Metropolitana
May 6, 2019Acassuso 0-1 Almirante BrownPrimera B Metropolitana
Nov 25, 2018Almirante Brown 0-3 AcassusoPrimera B Metropolitana
Apr 13, 2018Acassuso 1-0 Almirante BrownPrimera B Metropolitana

Last archived meeting: Acassuso vs Almirante Brown on May 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Almirante Brown score 0.9 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Acassuso score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 29% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Almirante Brown0.90.594/152/15
Acassuso0.71.347/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Almirante Brown sit 4th in Primera Nacional (41 points from 26 matches) and Acassuso sit 18th (22 points from 25 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Almirante Brown261187221641
18Acassuso255713183022

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Almirante Brown vs Acassuso?
The Footlab model makes Almirante Brown the favourite at 62%, against 27% for a draw and 11% for Acassuso.
Where and when is Almirante Brown vs Acassuso played?
Almirante Brown vs Acassuso is played on September 19, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento, in the Primera Nacional.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Almirante Brown and Acassuso

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