Almirante Brown vs Acassuso: prediction and stats
Primera NacionalRegular Season - 31Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento, La Matanza, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Almirante Brown the favourite at 62%, against 27% for a draw and 11% for Acassuso. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Almirante Brown vs Acassuso?
Almirante Brown starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,768 vs 1,645).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Almirante Brown have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Acassuso have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Defensores De Belgrano(away) | 2-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tristan Suarez(away) | 1-3 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ciudad de Bolívar(home) | 2-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Racing Cordoba(home) | 2-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Atletico Mitre(away) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Godoy Cruz(home) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Midland(home) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Deportivo Moron(away) | 1-4 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Colon Santa Fe(home) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | San Miguel(away) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Almirante Brown win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Acassuso win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Acassuso 0-0 Almirante Brown | Primera Nacional |
| Dec 27, 2020 | Almirante Brown 2-1 Acassuso | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Nov 10, 2019 | Acassuso 0-1 Almirante Brown | Primera B Metropolitana |
| May 6, 2019 | Acassuso 0-1 Almirante Brown | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Nov 25, 2018 | Almirante Brown 0-3 Acassuso | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Apr 13, 2018 | Acassuso 1-0 Almirante Brown | Primera B Metropolitana |
Last archived meeting: Acassuso vs Almirante Brown on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Almirante Brown score 0.9 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Acassuso score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 29% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almirante Brown | 0.9 | 0.5 | 9 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
| Acassuso | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Almirante Brown sit 4th in Primera Nacional (41 points from 26 matches) and Acassuso sit 18th (22 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Almirante Brown | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 22 | 16 | 41 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Almirante Brown vs Acassuso?
- The Footlab model makes Almirante Brown the favourite at 62%, against 27% for a draw and 11% for Acassuso.
- Where and when is Almirante Brown vs Acassuso played?
- Almirante Brown vs Acassuso is played on September 19, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento, in the Primera Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026All BoysvsColon Santa Fe
- Sep 19, 2026Atletico MitrevsSan Telmo
- Sep 19, 2026Gimnasia JujuyvsSan Martin Tucuman
- Sep 19, 2026QuilmesvsClub Atlético Güemes
- Sep 19, 2026AlmagrovsNueva Chicago
- Sep 19, 2026Los AndesvsDeportivo Moron
- Sep 19, 2026Defensores De BelgranovsFerro Carril Oeste
- Sep 19, 2026PatronatovsSan Martin S.J.