AD Ceuta FC vs Eibar: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube, Ceuta
The Footlab AI model makes Eibar the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for AD Ceuta FC. The most likely score is 1-1. If Eibar wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,455 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AD Ceuta FC vs Eibar?
Eibar starts as the favourite with a 159-point Elo edge (2,068 vs 1,909).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AD Ceuta FC vs Eibar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AD Ceuta FC
4-3-3- 7Alejandro Camacho Ramírez
- 9Jordi Escobar
- 19E. Sevikyan
- 8Kuki
- 15Joaquín
- 23A. Tuhami
- 6Carlos Hernández
- 3José Matos
- 4Albert Caparrós
- 34D. Mas
- 13Guille Vallejo
Eibar
4-2-3-1- 9Jon Bautista
- 30Aleix Garrido
- 8Ander Madariaga
- 7Malcom Adu
- 10Jon Guruzeta
- 11Jon Magunazelaia
- 23Anaitz Arbilla
- 4Unai Elgezabal
- 24Juan Bernat
- 22Álvaro Rodríguez
- 13Jon Mikel
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 11:58 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AD Ceuta FC have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Eibar have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sabadell(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Castellón(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Valladolid(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Burgos(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Oviedo(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Albacete(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Las Palmas(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Eldense(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(away) | 4-0 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 AD Ceuta FC win, 0 draws, 1 Eibar win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | Eibar 3-0 AD Ceuta FC | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2025 | AD Ceuta FC 1-0 Eibar | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
AD Ceuta FC score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Eibar score 2.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AD Ceuta FC | 1.2 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Eibar | 2.0 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AD Ceuta FC sit 21st in Segunda División (5 points from 9 matches) and Eibar sit 2nd (21 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Eibar | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 21 |
| 21 | AD Ceuta FC | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 5 |
A question about AD Ceuta FC vs Eibar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AD Ceuta FC vs Eibar?
- The Footlab AI model makes Eibar the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for AD Ceuta FC.
- Where and when is AD Ceuta FC vs Eibar played?
- AD Ceuta FC vs Eibar is played on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.