Caerphilly Athletic vs Swansea University: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 17Kick-off on December 4, 2026 at 07:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Swansea University the favourite at 58%, against 20% for a draw and 22% for Caerphilly Athletic. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,775 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Caerphilly Athletic vs Swansea University?
On Elo ratings, Caerphilly Athletic has 1,522 points and Swansea University 1,599.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Caerphilly Athletic vs Swansea University
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Caerphilly Athletic
Not enough data to predict the Caerphilly Athletic lineup.
Swansea University
4-3-3- AA. Orme
- TT. Hicks
- JJ. Roberts
- WW. Hudson
- CC. Langan
- WW. Toms
- DD. Sheehan
- DD. Thomas
- HH. Huddart
- DDaniel Barnard
- LL. Martin
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 10:54 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caerphilly Athletic have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Swansea University have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Afan Lido(away) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Carmarthen Town(away) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Chepstow Town(home) | 1-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Newport City(home) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2026 | Treowen Stars(home) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Cardiff Draconians(home) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Ynyshir Albions(away) | 2-4 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Afan Lido(away) | 5-5 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Caerphilly Athletic(home) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Caerphilly Athletic wins, 0 draws, 1 Swansea University win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Swansea University 3-1 Caerphilly Athletic | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Swansea University vs Caerphilly Athletic on Oct 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Caerphilly Athletic score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Swansea University score 2.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caerphilly Athletic | 1.3 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Swansea University | 2.6 | 1.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caerphilly Athletic sit 12th in FAW Championship (14 points from 13 matches) and Swansea University sit 3rd (24 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Swansea University | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 34 | 15 | 24 |
| 12 | Caerphilly Athletic | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 24 | 14 |
A question about Caerphilly Athletic vs Swansea University?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Caerphilly Athletic vs Swansea University?
- The Footlab AI model makes Swansea University the favourite at 58%, against 20% for a draw and 22% for Caerphilly Athletic.
- Where and when is Caerphilly Athletic vs Swansea University played?
- Caerphilly Athletic vs Swansea University is played on December 4, 2026 at 07:30 PM (UTC), in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.