AFC Portchester vs Whitstable Town: prediction and stats
FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 28, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)The OnSite Group Stadium, Portchester, Hampshire
The Footlab model makes AFC Portchester the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Whitstable Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AFC Portchester vs Whitstable Town?
AFC Portchester starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (1,773 vs 1,657).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Portchester have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Whitstable Town have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Kingstonian(away) | 3-3 | Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Hanworth Villa(home) | 0-2 | Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Southall(home) | 1-2 | Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Horndean(away) | 3-0 | Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Bedfont Sports(home) | 4-0 | Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | Wealdstone(away) | 1-5 | FA Cup |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Hungerford Town(home) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 16, 2025 | Chichester City(away) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Chichester City(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Dulwich Hamlet(away) | 3-2 | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
AFC Portchester score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Whitstable Town score 2.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Portchester | 2.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Whitstable Town | 2.9 | 1.5 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AFC Portchester vs Whitstable Town?
- The Footlab model makes AFC Portchester the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Whitstable Town.
- Where and when is AFC Portchester vs Whitstable Town played?
- AFC Portchester vs Whitstable Town is played on August 28, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at The OnSite Group Stadium, in the FA Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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