Minerva Punjab vs Horley Town: prediction and stats
FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium, New Delhi
The Footlab model makes Horley Town the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Minerva Punjab. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Minerva Punjab vs Horley Town?
Horley Town starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,645 vs 1,537).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Minerva Punjab have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Horley Town have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 21, 2026 | Mumbai City(home) | 0-2 | Indian Super League |
| May 16, 2026 | Odisha(away) | 3-2 | Indian Super League |
| May 11, 2026 | East Bengal II(away) | 0-0 | Indian Super League |
| May 6, 2026 | Chennaiyin(home) | 1-0 | Indian Super League |
| May 2, 2026 | SC Delhi(away) | 0-0 | Indian Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2025 | Corinthian(away) | 3-3 | FA Cup |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Corinthian(home) | 0-0 | FA Cup |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Broadbridge Heath(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Aug 19, 2023 | AFC Croydon Athletic(home) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Aug 5, 2023 | Punjab United(home) | 4-0 | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Minerva Punjab score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Horley Town score 1.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minerva Punjab | 1.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Horley Town | 1.3 | 2.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Minerva Punjab vs Horley Town?
- The Footlab model makes Horley Town the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Minerva Punjab.
- Where and when is Minerva Punjab vs Horley Town played?
- Minerva Punjab vs Horley Town is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium, in the FA Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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