Match

Minerva Punjab vs Horley Town: prediction and stats

FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium, New Delhi

Minerva PunjabHorley Town

The Footlab model makes Horley Town the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Minerva Punjab. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Minerva Punjab vs Horley Town?

Horley Town starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,645 vs 1,537).

Minerva Punjab win35 %
Draw26 %
Horley Town win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Minerva Punjab have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Horley Town have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Minerva Punjab
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 21, 2026Mumbai City(home)0-2Indian Super League
May 16, 2026Odisha(away)3-2Indian Super League
May 11, 2026East Bengal II(away)0-0Indian Super League
May 6, 2026Chennaiyin(home)1-0Indian Super League
May 2, 2026SC Delhi(away)0-0Indian Super League
Horley Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 5, 2025Corinthian(away)3-3FA Cup
Aug 2, 2025Corinthian(home)0-0FA Cup
Aug 3, 2024Broadbridge Heath(away)1-2FA Cup
Aug 19, 2023AFC Croydon Athletic(home)0-1FA Cup
Aug 5, 2023Punjab United(home)4-0FA Cup

How many goals should we expect?

Minerva Punjab score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Horley Town score 1.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Minerva Punjab1.31.067/156/15
Horley Town1.32.165/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Minerva Punjab vs Horley Town?
The Footlab model makes Horley Town the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Minerva Punjab.
Where and when is Minerva Punjab vs Horley Town played?
Minerva Punjab vs Horley Town is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium, in the FA Trophy.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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