Where and when is Ascot United vs Margate played?

Ascot United vs Margate is played on August 28, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Ascot Racecourse, in the FA Trophy.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Ascot United vs Margate: prediction and stats

FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 28, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Ascot Racecourse, Ascot, Berkshire

Ascot United

Margate

The Footlab model makes Margate the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Ascot United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ascot United vs Margate?

Margate starts as the favourite with a 156-point Elo edge (1,803 vs 1,647).

Ascot United win30 %

Draw25 %

Margate win45 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ascot United have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Margate have 11, 0 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ascot United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Metropolitan Police(home)	2-3	Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central
Apr 18, 2026	Raynes Park Vale(away)	4-1	Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central
Apr 11, 2026	Horndean(home)	5-2	Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central
Apr 6, 2026	Hartley Wintney(away)	1-1	Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central
Apr 4, 2026	Fareham Town(home)	5-0	Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central

Margate
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jul 18, 2026	Chatham Town(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 4, 2026	Dover(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026	East Grinstead Town(away)	3-1	Non League Div One - Isthmian South East
Apr 18, 2026	Erith Town(home)	3-1	Non League Div One - Isthmian South East
Apr 11, 2026	VCD Athletic(away)	1-0	Non League Div One - Isthmian South East

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Ascot United win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Margate win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Sep 21, 2024	Ascot United 1-0 Margate	FA Trophy

Last archived meeting: Ascot United vs Margate on Sep 21, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Ascot United score 1.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Margate score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Ascot United	1.9	2.1	1	11/15	12/15
Margate	1.7	0.9	6	7/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ascot United vs Margate?: The Footlab model makes Margate the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Ascot United.
Where and when is Ascot United vs Margate played?: Ascot United vs Margate is played on August 28, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Ascot Racecourse, in the FA Trophy.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.