Steyning Town vs Moneyfields: prediction and stats
FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 28, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Steyning Town Community Football Club, Steyning, West Sussex
The Footlab model makes Moneyfields the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Steyning Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Steyning Town vs Moneyfields?
Moneyfields starts as the favourite with a 217-point Elo edge (1,772 vs 1,555).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Steyning Town have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Moneyfields have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2025 | Tonbridge Angels(away) | 1-6 | FA Cup |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Tonbridge Angels(home) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Lancing(home) | 5-0 | FA Cup |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Hendon(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Badshot Lea(away) | 6-3 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Westfield (Surrey)(home) | 4-1 | Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central |
| Apr 18, 2026 | South Park(away) | 1-2 | Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Egham Town(away) | 0-3 | Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Littlehampton Town(home) | 4-0 | Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Hayes & Yeading United(away) | 1-0 | Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central |
How many goals should we expect?
Steyning Town score 2.3 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Moneyfields score 1.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steyning Town | 2.3 | 2.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Moneyfields | 1.9 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Steyning Town vs Moneyfields?
- The Footlab model makes Moneyfields the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Steyning Town.
- Where and when is Steyning Town vs Moneyfields played?
- Steyning Town vs Moneyfields is played on August 28, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Steyning Town Community Football Club, in the FA Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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