Littlehampton Town vs Raynes Park Vale: prediction and stats
FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 28, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)The Sportsfield, Littlehampton, West Sussex
The Footlab model makes Raynes Park Vale the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Littlehampton Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Littlehampton Town vs Raynes Park Vale?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Littlehampton Town (1,561) and Raynes Park Vale (1,641).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Littlehampton Town have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Raynes Park Vale have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Horndean(away) | 4-0 | Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Hayes & Yeading United(home) | 0-1 | Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Hartley Wintney(home) | 3-1 | Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Moneyfields(away) | 0-4 | Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Leatherhead(home) | 0-2 | Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Hanworth Villa(away) | 1-2 | Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Ascot United(home) | 1-4 | Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Bognor Regis Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Kingstonian(home) | 2-1 | Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Westfield (Surrey)(away) | 1-3 | Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Littlehampton Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Raynes Park Vale win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2025 | Raynes Park Vale 3-3 Littlehampton Town | Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central |
Last archived meeting: Raynes Park Vale vs Littlehampton Town on Sep 27, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Littlehampton Town score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Raynes Park Vale score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Littlehampton Town | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Raynes Park Vale | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Littlehampton Town vs Raynes Park Vale?
- The Footlab model makes Raynes Park Vale the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Littlehampton Town.
- Where and when is Littlehampton Town vs Raynes Park Vale played?
- Littlehampton Town vs Raynes Park Vale is played on August 28, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at The Sportsfield, in the FA Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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