Where and when is Aylesbury United vs Sittingbourne played?

Aylesbury United vs Sittingbourne is played on August 28, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at The Meadow, in the FA Trophy.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Aylesbury United vs Sittingbourne: prediction and stats

FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 28, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)The Meadow, Chesham, Buckinghamshire

Aylesbury United

Sittingbourne

The Footlab model makes Sittingbourne the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Aylesbury United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Aylesbury United vs Sittingbourne?

Sittingbourne starts as the favourite with a 244-point Elo edge (1,838 vs 1,594).

Aylesbury United win24 %

Draw24 %

Sittingbourne win52 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aylesbury United have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Sittingbourne have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Aylesbury United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Hertford Town(home)	1-3	Non League Div One - Southern Central
Apr 18, 2026	Hadley(away)	1-0	Non League Div One - Southern Central
Apr 11, 2026	Stotfold(home)	3-1	Non League Div One - Southern Central
Apr 6, 2026	Thame United(away)	2-0	Non League Div One - Southern Central
Apr 3, 2026	Barton Rovers(home)	2-3	Non League Div One - Southern Central

Sittingbourne
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	VCD Athletic(home)	5-0	Non League Div One - Isthmian South East
Apr 18, 2026	Hassocks(away)	2-0	Non League Div One - Isthmian South East
Apr 11, 2026	Ashford United(away)	1-3	Non League Div One - Isthmian South East
Apr 6, 2026	Merstham(home)	1-1	Non League Div One - Isthmian South East
Apr 4, 2026	East Grinstead Town(away)	3-0	Non League Div One - Isthmian South East

How many goals should we expect?

Aylesbury United score 2.2 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Sittingbourne score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Aylesbury United	2.2	2.0	4	10/15	12/15
Sittingbourne	2.1	1.5	5	9/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Aylesbury United vs Sittingbourne?: The Footlab model makes Sittingbourne the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Aylesbury United.
Where and when is Aylesbury United vs Sittingbourne played?: Aylesbury United vs Sittingbourne is played on August 28, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at The Meadow, in the FA Trophy.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.