Garforth Town vs Bridlington Town: prediction and stats
FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 28, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Bannister Prentice Community Stadium, Garforth, West Yorkshire
The Footlab model makes Garforth Town the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Bridlington Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Garforth Town vs Bridlington Town?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Garforth Town (1,657) and Bridlington Town (1,641).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Garforth Town have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Bridlington Town have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Worksop Town(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Guiseley AFC(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Blyth Town(away) | 4-2 | Non League Div One - Northern East |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Silsden(home) | 2-2 | Non League Div One - Northern East |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Blyth Spartans(away) | 0-0 | Non League Div One - Northern East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Brighouse Town(home) | 8-0 | Non League Div One - Northern East |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Blyth Spartans(away) | 1-0 | Non League Div One - Northern East |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Newton Aycliffe(home) | 1-1 | Non League Div One - Northern East |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(away) | 1-2 | Non League Div One - Northern East |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Blyth Town(home) | 7-0 | Non League Div One - Northern East |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Garforth Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Bridlington Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2025 | Bridlington Town 0-3 Garforth Town | Non League Div One - Northern East |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Bridlington Town 2-3 Garforth Town | Non League Div One - Northern East |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Garforth Town 0-1 Bridlington Town | Non League Div One - Northern East |
Last archived meeting: Bridlington Town vs Garforth Town on Oct 7, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Garforth Town score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Bridlington Town score 2.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garforth Town | 0.9 | 1.2 | 3 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Bridlington Town | 2.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Garforth Town vs Bridlington Town?
- The Footlab model makes Garforth Town the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Bridlington Town.
- Where and when is Garforth Town vs Bridlington Town played?
- Garforth Town vs Bridlington Town is played on August 28, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Bannister Prentice Community Stadium, in the FA Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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