Match

Potters Bar Town vs Barton Rovers: prediction and stats

FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 28, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)The Lantern Stadium, Potters Bar, Hertfordshire

Potters Bar TownBarton Rovers

The Footlab model makes Barton Rovers the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Potters Bar Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Potters Bar Town vs Barton Rovers?

A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate Potters Bar Town (1,578) and Barton Rovers (1,670).

Potters Bar Town win34 %
Draw25 %
Barton Rovers win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Potters Bar Town have 3 wins, 1 draws and 11 defeats; Barton Rovers have 7, 1 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Potters Bar Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Whitehawk(away)1-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Apr 18, 2026Chatham Town(home)0-6Non League Premier - Isthmian
Apr 14, 2026Welling United(away)0-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Apr 11, 2026Chichester City(home)0-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Apr 6, 2026Cheshunt(away)1-4Non League Premier - Isthmian
Barton Rovers
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 25, 2026Kingstonian(away)3-4Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026Stotfold(away)2-1Non League Div One - Southern Central
Apr 18, 2026AFC Dunstable(home)8-0Non League Div One - Southern Central
Apr 11, 2026Hadley(away)1-2Non League Div One - Southern Central
Apr 6, 2026Leighton Town(home)0-3Non League Div One - Southern Central

How many goals should we expect?

Potters Bar Town score 0.8 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Barton Rovers score 2.4 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Potters Bar Town0.82.318/159/15
Barton Rovers2.42.2311/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Potters Bar Town vs Barton Rovers?
The Footlab model makes Barton Rovers the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Potters Bar Town.
Where and when is Potters Bar Town vs Barton Rovers played?
Potters Bar Town vs Barton Rovers is played on August 28, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at The Lantern Stadium, in the FA Trophy.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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