Potters Bar Town vs Barton Rovers: prediction and stats
FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 28, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)The Lantern Stadium, Potters Bar, Hertfordshire
The Footlab model makes Barton Rovers the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Potters Bar Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Potters Bar Town vs Barton Rovers?
A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate Potters Bar Town (1,578) and Barton Rovers (1,670).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Potters Bar Town have 3 wins, 1 draws and 11 defeats; Barton Rovers have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Whitehawk(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Chatham Town(home) | 0-6 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 14, 2026 | Welling United(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Chichester City(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Cheshunt(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kingstonian(away) | 3-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Stotfold(away) | 2-1 | Non League Div One - Southern Central |
| Apr 18, 2026 | AFC Dunstable(home) | 8-0 | Non League Div One - Southern Central |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Hadley(away) | 1-2 | Non League Div One - Southern Central |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Leighton Town(home) | 0-3 | Non League Div One - Southern Central |
How many goals should we expect?
Potters Bar Town score 0.8 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Barton Rovers score 2.4 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Potters Bar Town | 0.8 | 2.3 | 1 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Barton Rovers | 2.4 | 2.2 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Potters Bar Town vs Barton Rovers?
- The Footlab model makes Barton Rovers the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Potters Bar Town.
- Where and when is Potters Bar Town vs Barton Rovers played?
- Potters Bar Town vs Barton Rovers is played on August 28, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at The Lantern Stadium, in the FA Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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