AFC Stoneham vs Shaftesbury Town: prediction and stats
FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stoneham Lane Football Complex, Eastleigh, Hampshire
The Footlab model makes AFC Stoneham the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Shaftesbury Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AFC Stoneham vs Shaftesbury Town?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate AFC Stoneham (1,724) and Shaftesbury Town (1,768).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Stoneham have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Shaftesbury Town have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2025 | Hungerford Town(away) | 0-3 | FA Cup |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Paulton Rovers(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Fleet Town(home) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Salisbury(home) | 1-7 | FA Cup |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Fleet Town(away) | 4-2 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Exmouth(home) | 4-4 | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Westbury United(away) | 2-1 | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Winchester City(home) | 2-1 | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Frome Town(away) | 2-3 | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Falmouth Town(home) | 4-0 | Non League Div One - Southern South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 AFC Stoneham win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Shaftesbury Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2021 | Shaftesbury Town 6-1 AFC Stoneham | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Shaftesbury Town vs AFC Stoneham on Aug 21, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
AFC Stoneham score 2.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Shaftesbury Town score 2.5 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Stoneham | 2.3 | 2.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Shaftesbury Town | 2.5 | 2.2 | 2 | 10/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AFC Stoneham vs Shaftesbury Town?
- The Footlab model makes AFC Stoneham the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Shaftesbury Town.
- Where and when is AFC Stoneham vs Shaftesbury Town played?
- AFC Stoneham vs Shaftesbury Town is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stoneham Lane Football Complex, in the FA Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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