Where and when is AFC Sudbury vs Lowestoft Town played?

AFC Sudbury vs Lowestoft Town is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at MEL Group Stadium, in the FA Trophy.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

AFC Sudbury vs Lowestoft Town: prediction and stats

FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)MEL Group Stadium, Sudbury, Suffolk

AFC Sudbury

Lowestoft Town

The Footlab model makes Lowestoft Town the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for AFC Sudbury. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win AFC Sudbury vs Lowestoft Town?

A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate AFC Sudbury (1,542) and Lowestoft Town (1,602).

AFC Sudbury win37 %

Draw25 %

Lowestoft Town win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Sudbury have 1 wins, 2 draws and 12 defeats; Lowestoft Town have 7, 1 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

AFC Sudbury
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 1, 2026	Bury Town(away)	3-3	Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026	Halesowen Town(away)	0-5	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Apr 18, 2026	Stourbridge(home)	0-4	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Apr 11, 2026	Banbury United(away)	0-2	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Apr 6, 2026	Needham Market(home)	1-3	Non League Premier - Southern Central

Lowestoft Town
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Brightlingsea Regent(home)	4-1	Non League Div One - Isthmian North
Apr 18, 2026	Grays Athletic(away)	2-1	Non League Div One - Isthmian North
Apr 11, 2026	Heybridge Swifts(home)	2-0	Non League Div One - Isthmian North
Apr 6, 2026	Felixstowe & Walton Utd(away)	0-2	Non League Div One - Isthmian North
Apr 4, 2026	Tilbury(home)	3-2	Non League Div One - Isthmian North

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 3 AFC Sudbury win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Lowestoft Town win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 4, 2025	Lowestoft Town 1-3 AFC Sudbury	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 26, 2024	AFC Sudbury 6-1 Lowestoft Town	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Feb 4, 2023	AFC Sudbury 0-1 Lowestoft Town	Non League Div One - Isthmian North
Nov 19, 2022	Lowestoft Town 0-2 AFC Sudbury	Non League Div One - Isthmian North

Last archived meeting: Lowestoft Town vs AFC Sudbury on Feb 4, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

AFC Sudbury score 0.9 and concede 2.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lowestoft Town score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
AFC Sudbury	0.9	2.9	1	7/15	11/15
Lowestoft Town	1.5	1.7	3	9/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for AFC Sudbury vs Lowestoft Town?: The Footlab model makes Lowestoft Town the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for AFC Sudbury.
Where and when is AFC Sudbury vs Lowestoft Town played?: AFC Sudbury vs Lowestoft Town is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at MEL Group Stadium, in the FA Trophy.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.