Colegiales vs Tristan Suarez: prediction and stats
Primera NacionalRegular Season - 33Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de Colegiales, Vicente López, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model calls this one tight: 33% for Colegiales, 34% for a draw, 33% for Tristan Suarez. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Colegiales vs Tristan Suarez?
A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Colegiales (1,762) and Tristan Suarez (1,858).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colegiales have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Tristan Suarez have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Almagro(away) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | San Miguel(away) | 0-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Patronato(home) | 2-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Gimnasia Jujuy(home) | 2-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Quilmes(away) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Agropecuario(home) | 2-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Almirante Brown(home) | 3-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Gimnasia Jujuy(away) | 2-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Club Atlético Güemes(away) | 3-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Chacarita Juniors(home) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Colegiales win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Tristan Suarez win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Tristan Suarez 0-0 Colegiales | Primera Nacional |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Tristan Suarez 2-2 Colegiales | Primera Nacional |
| May 10, 2025 | Colegiales 1-0 Tristan Suarez | Primera Nacional |
| Mar 1, 2020 | Colegiales 1-0 Tristan Suarez | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Sep 13, 2019 | Tristan Suarez 3-1 Colegiales | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Apr 28, 2019 | Colegiales 3-1 Tristan Suarez | Primera B Metropolitana |
Last archived meeting: Tristan Suarez vs Colegiales on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Colegiales score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Tristan Suarez score 1.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 28% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colegiales | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Tristan Suarez | 1.1 | 0.7 | 9 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Colegiales sit 12th in Primera Nacional (31 points from 25 matches) and Tristan Suarez sit 1st (48 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 25 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 28 | 13 | 48 |
| 12 | Colegiales | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 25 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Colegiales vs Tristan Suarez?
- The Footlab model calls this one tight: 33% for Colegiales, 34% for a draw, 33% for Tristan Suarez.
- Where and when is Colegiales vs Tristan Suarez played?
- Colegiales vs Tristan Suarez is played on October 3, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de Colegiales, in the Primera Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 28% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 3, 2026TemperleyvsNueva Chicago
- Oct 3, 2026All BoysvsGodoy Cruz
- Oct 3, 2026Atletico MitrevsColon Santa Fe
- Oct 3, 2026Gimnasia JujuyvsGimnasia Y Tiro
- Oct 3, 2026QuilmesvsAgropecuario
- Oct 3, 2026AlmagrovsChacarita Juniors
- Oct 3, 2026Defensores De BelgranovsAcassuso
- Oct 3, 2026PatronatovsClub Atlético Güemes