Where and when is Quilmes vs Agropecuario played?

Quilmes vs Agropecuario is played on October 3, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes, in the Primera Nacional.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Quilmes vs Agropecuario: prediction and stats

Primera NacionalRegular Season - 33Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes, Quilmes, Provincia de Buenos Aires

Quilmes

Agropecuario

The Footlab model makes Quilmes the favourite at 59%, against 27% for a draw and 14% for Agropecuario. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Quilmes vs Agropecuario?

A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Quilmes (1,757) and Agropecuario (1,736).

Quilmes win59 %

Draw27 %

Agropecuario win14 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Quilmes have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Agropecuario have 3, 6 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Quilmes
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Deportivo Maipu(away)	0-1	Primera Nacional
Aug 15, 2026	San Telmo(home)	3-0	Primera Nacional
Aug 9, 2026	Almagro(home)	1-1	Primera Nacional
Aug 5, 2026	Gimnasia Jujuy(home)	2-0	Primera Nacional
Aug 1, 2026	Patronato(away)	3-3	Primera Nacional

Agropecuario
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Tristan Suarez(away)	0-2	Primera Nacional
Aug 15, 2026	Ciudad de Bolívar(home)	1-0	Primera Nacional
Aug 8, 2026	Club Atlético Güemes(home)	3-0	Primera Nacional
Aug 2, 2026	Chacarita Juniors(away)	1-2	Primera Nacional
Jul 26, 2026	San Martin S.J.(home)	2-1	Primera Nacional

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Quilmes win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Agropecuario win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 24, 2026	Agropecuario 0-0 Quilmes	Primera Nacional
Aug 20, 2024	Quilmes 1-0 Agropecuario	Primera Nacional
Mar 29, 2024	Agropecuario 1-1 Quilmes	Primera Nacional
Mar 23, 2022	Quilmes 1-1 Agropecuario	Primera Nacional
Aug 28, 2021	Agropecuario 3-1 Quilmes	Primera Nacional
Apr 19, 2021	Quilmes 0-0 Agropecuario	Primera Nacional

Last archived meeting: Agropecuario vs Quilmes on May 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Quilmes score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Agropecuario score 0.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Quilmes	1.1	0.9	6	5/15	5/15
Agropecuario	0.7	1.0	6	5/15	4/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Quilmes sit 10th in Primera Nacional (32 points from 26 matches) and Agropecuario sit 15th (29 points from 26 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Quilmes	26	8	8	10	27	22	32
15	Agropecuario	26	7	8	11	22	30	29

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Quilmes vs Agropecuario?: The Footlab model makes Quilmes the favourite at 59%, against 27% for a draw and 14% for Agropecuario.
Where and when is Quilmes vs Agropecuario played?: Quilmes vs Agropecuario is played on October 3, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes, in the Primera Nacional.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.