Deportivo Madryn vs Chaco For Ever: prediction and stats
Primera NacionalRegular Season - 33Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Abel Sastre, Puerto Madryn, Provincia de Chubut
The Footlab model makes Deportivo Madryn the favourite at 65%, against 23% for a draw and 12% for Chaco For Ever. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportivo Madryn vs Chaco For Ever?
Deportivo Madryn starts as the favourite with a 124-point Elo edge (1,846 vs 1,722).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Madryn have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Chaco For Ever have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Godoy Cruz(home) | 2-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Atletico Mitre(home) | 4-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 16, 2026 | San Martin Tucuman(away) | 2-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 8, 2026 | CA Estudiantes(away) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | All Boys(home) | 2-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Los Andes(home) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gimnasia Jujuy(away) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Godoy Cruz(away) | 1-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Deportivo Moron(home) | 2-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Colon Santa Fe(away) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Deportivo Madryn win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Chaco For Ever win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Chaco For Ever 1-2 Deportivo Madryn | Primera Nacional |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Chaco For Ever 0-1 Deportivo Madryn | Primera Nacional |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Deportivo Madryn 1-0 Chaco For Ever | Primera Nacional |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Chaco For Ever 0-0 Deportivo Madryn | Primera Nacional |
| May 27, 2023 | Deportivo Madryn 1-0 Chaco For Ever | Primera Nacional |
| Apr 30, 2022 | Deportivo Madryn 3-2 Chaco For Ever | Primera Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Chaco For Ever vs Deportivo Madryn on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Deportivo Madryn score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Chaco For Ever score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Madryn | 1.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Chaco For Ever | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deportivo Madryn sit 5th in Primera Nacional (40 points from 25 matches) and Chaco For Ever sit 16th (25 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Deportivo Madryn | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 36 | 24 | 40 |
| 16 | Chaco For Ever | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 22 | 29 | 25 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportivo Madryn vs Chaco For Ever?
- The Footlab model makes Deportivo Madryn the favourite at 65%, against 23% for a draw and 12% for Chaco For Ever.
- Where and when is Deportivo Madryn vs Chaco For Ever played?
- Deportivo Madryn vs Chaco For Ever is played on October 3, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Abel Sastre, in the Primera Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 3, 2026TemperleyvsNueva Chicago
- Oct 3, 2026All BoysvsGodoy Cruz
- Oct 3, 2026Atletico MitrevsColon Santa Fe
- Oct 3, 2026Gimnasia JujuyvsGimnasia Y Tiro
- Oct 3, 2026QuilmesvsAgropecuario
- Oct 3, 2026AlmagrovsChacarita Juniors
- Oct 3, 2026Defensores De BelgranovsAcassuso
- Oct 3, 2026PatronatovsClub Atlético Güemes