Almagro vs Gimnasia Jujuy: prediction and stats
Primera NacionalRegular Season - 28Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Tres de Febrero, Tres de Febrero, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Almagro the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Gimnasia Jujuy. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Almagro vs Gimnasia Jujuy?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Almagro (1,704) and Gimnasia Jujuy (1,799).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Almagro have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Gimnasia Jujuy have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Colegiales(home) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Deportivo Moron(away) | 0-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Quilmes(away) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Gimnasia Y Tiro(home) | 0-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Midland(home) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Patronato(away) | 3-3 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Chaco For Ever(home) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Tristan Suarez(home) | 0-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Quilmes(away) | 0-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Colegiales(away) | 1-2 | Primera Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Almagro win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Gimnasia Jujuy win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Gimnasia Jujuy 6-1 Almagro | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 23, 2022 | Almagro 2-0 Gimnasia Jujuy | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 1, 2021 | Almagro 2-2 Gimnasia Jujuy | Primera Nacional |
| Mar 20, 2021 | Gimnasia Jujuy 1-2 Almagro | Primera Nacional |
| Nov 28, 2020 | Almagro 1-0 Gimnasia Jujuy | Primera Nacional |
| Nov 16, 2019 | Gimnasia Jujuy 0-0 Almagro | Primera Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Gimnasia Jujuy vs Almagro on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Almagro score 1.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Gimnasia Jujuy score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almagro | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Gimnasia Jujuy | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Almagro sit 13th in Primera Nacional (31 points from 26 matches) and Gimnasia Jujuy sit 2nd (45 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 32 | 45 |
| 13 | Almagro | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 29 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Almagro vs Gimnasia Jujuy?
- The Footlab model makes Almagro the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Gimnasia Jujuy.
- Where and when is Almagro vs Gimnasia Jujuy played?
- Almagro vs Gimnasia Jujuy is played on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Tres de Febrero, in the Primera Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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