Match

Almagro vs Gimnasia Jujuy: prediction and stats

Primera NacionalRegular Season - 28Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Tres de Febrero, Tres de Febrero, Provincia de Buenos Aires

AlmagroGimnasia Jujuy

The Footlab model makes Almagro the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Gimnasia Jujuy. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Almagro vs Gimnasia Jujuy?

A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Almagro (1,704) and Gimnasia Jujuy (1,799).

Almagro win38 %
Draw29 %
Gimnasia Jujuy win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Almagro have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Gimnasia Jujuy have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Almagro
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Colegiales(home)0-0Primera Nacional
Aug 15, 2026Deportivo Moron(away)0-2Primera Nacional
Aug 9, 2026Quilmes(away)1-1Primera Nacional
Aug 5, 2026Gimnasia Y Tiro(home)0-2Primera Nacional
Aug 1, 2026Midland(home)1-1Primera Nacional
Gimnasia Jujuy
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Patronato(away)3-3Primera Nacional
Aug 16, 2026Chaco For Ever(home)1-0Primera Nacional
Aug 10, 2026Tristan Suarez(home)0-2Primera Nacional
Aug 5, 2026Quilmes(away)0-2Primera Nacional
Aug 1, 2026Colegiales(away)1-2Primera Nacional

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Almagro win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Gimnasia Jujuy win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 19, 2026Gimnasia Jujuy 6-1 AlmagroPrimera Nacional
Jul 23, 2022Almagro 2-0 Gimnasia JujuyPrimera Nacional
Aug 1, 2021Almagro 2-2 Gimnasia JujuyPrimera Nacional
Mar 20, 2021Gimnasia Jujuy 1-2 AlmagroPrimera Nacional
Nov 28, 2020Almagro 1-0 Gimnasia JujuyPrimera Nacional
Nov 16, 2019Gimnasia Jujuy 0-0 AlmagroPrimera Nacional

Last archived meeting: Gimnasia Jujuy vs Almagro on Apr 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Almagro score 1.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Gimnasia Jujuy score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Almagro1.01.056/155/15
Gimnasia Jujuy1.51.339/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Almagro sit 13th in Primera Nacional (31 points from 26 matches) and Gimnasia Jujuy sit 2nd (45 points from 26 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Gimnasia Jujuy261367393245
13Almagro268711212931

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Almagro vs Gimnasia Jujuy?
The Footlab model makes Almagro the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Gimnasia Jujuy.
Where and when is Almagro vs Gimnasia Jujuy played?
Almagro vs Gimnasia Jujuy is played on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Tres de Febrero, in the Primera Nacional.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Almagro and Gimnasia Jujuy

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