Gimnasia Jujuy vs Atletico DE Rafaela: prediction and stats
Primera NacionalRegular Season - 29Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio 23 de Agosto, San Salvador de Jujuy, Provincia de Jujuy
The Footlab model makes Gimnasia Jujuy the favourite at 53%, against 29% for a draw and 18% for Atletico DE Rafaela. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gimnasia Jujuy vs Atletico DE Rafaela?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Gimnasia Jujuy (1,799) and Atletico DE Rafaela (1,767).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gimnasia Jujuy have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Atletico DE Rafaela have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Patronato(away) | 3-3 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Chaco For Ever(home) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Tristan Suarez(home) | 0-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Quilmes(away) | 0-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Colegiales(away) | 1-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Defensores De Belgrano(home) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chacarita Juniors(home) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 1, 2026 | San Martin S.J.(away) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Nueva Chicago(home) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Temperley(away) | 0-2 | Primera Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Gimnasia Jujuy win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Atletico DE Rafaela win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Atletico DE Rafaela 0-0 Gimnasia Jujuy | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 23, 2023 | Atletico DE Rafaela 1-0 Gimnasia Jujuy | Primera Nacional |
| Mar 18, 2023 | Gimnasia Jujuy 1-0 Atletico DE Rafaela | Primera Nacional |
| Mar 6, 2022 | Atletico DE Rafaela 3-0 Gimnasia Jujuy | Primera Nacional |
| Oct 1, 2021 | Atletico DE Rafaela 2-0 Gimnasia Jujuy | Primera Nacional |
| Jun 10, 2021 | Gimnasia Jujuy 1-0 Atletico DE Rafaela | Primera Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Atletico DE Rafaela vs Gimnasia Jujuy on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gimnasia Jujuy score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico DE Rafaela score 0.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia Jujuy | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Atletico DE Rafaela | 0.5 | 0.9 | 8 | 3/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gimnasia Jujuy sit 2nd in Primera Nacional (45 points from 26 matches) and Atletico DE Rafaela sit 8th (35 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 32 | 45 |
| 8 | Atletico DE Rafaela | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 19 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gimnasia Jujuy vs Atletico DE Rafaela?
- The Footlab model makes Gimnasia Jujuy the favourite at 53%, against 29% for a draw and 18% for Atletico DE Rafaela.
- Where and when is Gimnasia Jujuy vs Atletico DE Rafaela played?
- Gimnasia Jujuy vs Atletico DE Rafaela is played on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio 23 de Agosto, in the Primera Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.